Cigarettes in Jordan, 2017
Summary
Cigarettes in Jordan, 2017 is an analytical report by GlobalData that provides extensive and highly detailed current and future market trends in the Jordanian market. The report offers Market size and structure of the overall and per capita consumption based upon a unique combination of industry research, fieldwork, market sizing analysis, and our in-house expertise.
Contraband has been a major problem for the authorities and is widely acknowledged to have been depressing legitimate sales volumes. As of 2012, 37% of total sales were accounted for by non-duty paid sales, but this fell to 28.4% in 2013, after manufacturer price cuts, although tax driven price increases in February 2014 resulted in another upturn in smuggling to over 34% of consumption, although this level fell back again in 2015. Based on duty paid volumes, per capita consumption averaged 892 pieces/year in 2015 but had reached 1,525 pieces/year at its peak in 2008. Including estimated contraband, the true level would currently be around 1,169 pieces/year.
Scope
- The longer-term prospects for the Jordanian cigarette market are for recovery after 2017, with the economy expected to continue to grow albeit at only a moderate rate.
- Although the timing and extent of future tax and price rises is uncertain, if these occur, they will encourage another upturn in smuggling and a down turn in duty paid demand.
- Real GDP growth is expected to rise to 3.3% in 2017 and then 3.8% % in 2018, with future growth of around 4% projected.
- Inflation which was almost static in 2015 is expected to rise at just over 2.5% in 2017 and stay around this level.
- Get a detailed understanding of consumption to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market.
- Identify the areas of growth and opportunities, which will aid effective marketing planning.
- The differing growth rates in regional product sales drive fundamental shifts in the market.
- This report provides detailed, authoritative data on these changes - prime intelligence for marketers.
- Understand the market dynamics and essential data to benchmark your position and to identify where to compete in the future.
- 1. Overview 5
- 2. Market Size 7
- 3. Market Structure 13
- 4. Manufacturers & Brands 14
- 5. Taxation & Retail Prices 19
- 5.1. Taxation 19
- 5.2. Retail Prices 20
- 6. The Smoking Population 22
- 7. Production & Trade 25
- 7.1. Production 25
- 7.2. Imports 27
- 7.3. Exports 33
- 8. Operating constraints 41
- 8.1. Advertising Restrictions 41
- 8.2. Health Warnings 41
- 8.3. Government Restrictions 42
- 9. Prospects & Forecasts 43
- 10. Prospects & Forecasts 45
- 11. Appendix 47
- 11.1. What is this Report About? 47
- 11.2. Time Frame 47
- 11.3. Product Category Coverage 47
- 11.4. Methodology 48
- 11.5. About GlobalData 50
- 11.6. Disclaimer 51
- 11.7. Contact Us 52
- List of Tables
- Table 1: Cigarette Consumption, 1990-2016 8
- Table 2: Duty Paid & Non-Duty Paid Sales, 2010-2015, Million Pieces 10
- Table 3: Per Capita Consumption, 1990-2016 11
- Table 4: Manufacturer Sales & Market Shares, 2000-2016, Million Pieces 16
- Table 5: Manufacturer Sales & Market Shares, 2000-2016, % Volume 17
- Table 6: Retail Price Segmentation, 2005 20
- Table 7: Cigarettes: Price Index, 2006-2016 21
- Table 8: Smoking Population, 1990-2016 23
- Table 9: Smoking Prevalence by Age & Education, 2007 24
- Table 10: Smoking by Age & Gender, 2007 24
- Table 11: Cigarette Production, 1990-2016 25
- Table 12: Cigarette Imports, 1990-2015 27
- Table 13: Imports Destined for Domestic Consumption, 1996-2015, Million Pieces 29
- Table 14: Cigarette Imports by Country of Origin, 2000-2015, Million Pieces 30
- Table 15: Cigarette Imports by Country of Origin, 2000-2015, % 30
- Table 16: Cigarette Exports to Jordan, 2008-2016, Million Pieces 31
- Table 17: Total Cigarette Exports and Re-Exports, 1990-2015 33
- Table 18: Cigarette Re-Exports, 1997-2015 34
- Table 19: Cigarette Re-Exports by Country of Destination, 2000-2014, Million Pieces 35
- Table 20: Cigarette Re-Exports by Country of Destination, 2000-2014, % 36
- Table 21: Domestic Exports & Re-Exports, 1996-2015, Million Pieces 37
- Table 22: Cigarette Exports by Country of Destination, 2000-2015, Million Pieces 39
- Table 23: Cigarette Exports by Country of Destination, 2000-2014, % 40
- Table 24: Union Tobacco & Cigarette Industries Company Ltd (UTCIC) 43
- Table 25: Philip Morris Jordan Ltd 44
- Table 26: Consumption Forecasts to 2025 46
- List of Figuress
- Figure 1: Methodology 48
- Figure 2: GlobalData at a glance 50
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