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The Physical Security Business 2016 to 2021: Access Control, Intruder Alarms & Video Surveillance

The Physical Security Business 2016 to 2021: Access Control, Intruder Alarms & Video Surveillance

The total value of world production of physical security products at factory gate prices in 2016 was $28.44 billion, an increase of 4.5% on 2015. Over the last 5 years the market has grown by a compound annual growth rate of 8.2% showing a significant fall in growth over the last 2 years.

The developed markets of North America and Europe have continued to lose market share to Asia and particularly China and this is set to continue to the end of the decade.

This is bad news for western manufacturers of video surveillance products because they have failed to establish a solid business base and significant share in China, whilst two Chinese manufacturers have sales of more than $5 billion between them and now have the kind of scale that allows them to reduce prices to the levels that most western manufacturers can’t compete against.

We forecast a CAGR of 5.65% over the 5 year period from 2016 to 2021. Not particularly optimistic considering that the market managed to grow by a CAGR of 7.83% during an unstable period from the end of 2010 to today. But whilst growth in volume terms will be well over 10% there is little chance of sales revenues achieving much more than half of this whilst the major Chinese companies continue reducing their prices in order to boost volume.

Why Do You Need This Report?

This 2016 World Survey of the Physical Security Industry is our 8th edition of a comprehensive study providing detailed market sizing and analysis of the 3 major business sectors, Access Control, Intruder / Perimeter Protection and Video Surveillance. It is focused on the products business.

The report analyses the techno & commercial changes that are impacting the business and the role that merger and acquisition, investment and alliance is playing in changing the competitive landscape.

The report shows that the industry is entering a period of stable growth for the next 5 years, across most of the developed and developing regions of the world. The industry has become more resilient and robust and is in good shape to meet the full force of some very disruptive technologies that will start to change the supply structure and competitive landscape over the next 5 years.

1. Introduction
2. Structure, Size & Shape of the Physical Security Business
2.1 Structure of the Business
2.2 Market Share
2.3 Sizing & Comparing Access – Intruder – Video 2016
2.4 World Distribution of Security Products by Major Regions
2.4.1 The Status in 2016
2.4.2 Market Forecast to 2021
2.4.3 Market Size & Trends by Vertical Sector
2.4.4 Market Size by Region & Penetration
3. The Video Surveillance Market 2016 – 2021
3.1 Market Size 2016 & Forecast to 2021
3.2 Market Size Cameras
3.3 Market Size Video Management Software Systems
3.4 Identifying & Measuring the Performance of Leading Camera Suppliers
3.5 Identifying & Measuring the Performance of Leading VMS Suppliers
3.6 Channels of Distribution & their Restructuring
3.7 Chinese Suppliers Set the Competitive Landscape
3.7.1 Connecting Physical & Logical Security
3.7.2 Sharing the Fast Growing Asia Market
3.8 Major Demand Drivers for Video Surveillance
3.8.1 IP Network Cameras
3.8.2 TCO Metrics – Compression – Ethernet
3.8.3 Integration within Physical Security & other BAS Services
3.8.4 Demand for Analytics
3.9 The Market for Video Surveillance as a Service (VSaaS) 2016
3.9.1 Drivers & Road Blocks to VSaaS
3.9.2 Suppliers & Operators of MVaaS & VSaaS
3.9.3 Acquisitions in MVaaS – VSaaS – ACaaS
3.10 Video Technology – IP Cameras – HD Analog CCTV – Thermal Cameras
3.10.1 IP Network Cameras
3.10.2 HDCCTV – Analogue – IP Network – Where is the Future?
3.10.3 Thermal Cameras
3.11 Body Worn Cameras
3.12 Storage Recorders / Mobile Apps
3.12.1 Storage
3.12.2 Mobile Apps
3.13 Video Management Software (VMS)
3.14 Video Surveillance Analytics
3.15 New Applications for Specialist Cameras
4. The Access Control Market 2016 to 2021
4.1 Market Size 2016 & Forecast to 2021
4.2 Identifying Measuring the Performance of Leading Access Control Suppliers
4.3 Channels of Distribution for Access Control Systems
4.4 Major Demand Drivers for Access Control
4.4.1 IP Network Systems
4.4.2 Integration within Physical Security and other BAS Services
4.4.3 Connecting Physical & Logical Security
4.4.4 PACS – Identity Management & Biometrics
4.4.5 Demand for Biometric Readers
4.4.6 Personal Identity Verification Card (PIV Card)
4.4.7 Near Field Communications (NFC) for Access Control
4.4.8 Systems Integrators Preference to push Access Control
4.5 Physical Identity and Access Management (PIAM)
4.6 Access Control as a Service & Managed Access Control
4.6.1 Growth Through Access Control as Service & Cloud Based Systems
5. Intruder Alarms / Perimeter Protection Market 2016 to 2021
5.1 Market Size 2015 & Forecast to 2021
5.2 Demand Drivers
5.3 Identifying & Measuring the Performance of Leading Suppliers
6. Wireless Technology
6.1 Wireless in the Video Surveillance Market
6.2 Wireless in the Access Control Market
6.3 Wireless in the Intruder Alarm Market
6.4 “Wireless Will be Driven by IoT”
7. Standards
7.2 ONVIF Moves into Access Control
7.3 PSIA
7.4 Cyber Security
8. Software Markets in the Physical Security Business
8.1 Physical Security & Information Management (PSIM)
8.2 Physical Identity and Access Management (PIAM)
8.3 Situational Awareness
9. Business Opportunities Through Integration, IT Convergence & IoT
9.1 Why Integration in all its Forms is Critical for Growth
9.2 Growth Through Integration, IT Convergence within BAS Services
9.3 Growth Through IoT & the Building Internet of Things (BIoT)
9.3.1 The Impact of BIoT on Physical Security
9.4 Business Models Focused on Product Specialization, Vertical & Commoditization
9.5 Business Models Focused on New Verticals – Shared Intelligence & Total Systems
9.5.1 New Industry Verticals
9.5.2 Shared Services, Smart / Safe Cities & IoT
9.5.3 Shared Intelligence in the Private Sector
9.5.4 Total Solutions versus Product Manufacture
9.5.5 Brand & Selling through the Internet
9.6 Business Models to Counter Chinese Dominance in Video Surveillance
9.7 Business Models Built Around Security as a Service & VSaaS
10. M&A Performance by Sector – Valuation and Outlook 2000 to 2021
10.1 M&A Performance 2000 – 2016
10.2 M&A Performance in 2016
10.3 M&A Outlook 2016 – 2021
10.4 M&A Analyzed by Business Segment 2013 – 2016
10.5 M&A Valuation – Exit Multiple Benchmarks
10.6 The US Dominates M&A Activity in the Physical Security Industry
10.7 Strategic Buys Dominate M&A Activity
11. Identifying Potential Acquisition Targets & High Growth Sectors
11.1 Potential Acquisition Targets
11.2 Acquisition in High Growth Sectors
11.2.1 The IP Video Surveillance Industry
11.2.2 Security Management Software
11.2.3 Video Surveillance as a Service (VSaaS)
11.2.4 Access Control, Biometrics & Identity Authorization
12. Investment & its Impact on the Security Industry
12.1 The State of the Investment Business in the USA
12.2 Impact on the Security Industry
12.3 Investors in the Security Industry & Recipients
13. The Role that Strategic Alliance Plays in the Security Business

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