PESTLE Insights: Macroeconomic Outlook Report - Poland

PESTLE Insights: Macroeconomic Outlook Report - Poland

Summary

Mining, manufacturing and utilities contributed 26.2% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2018, followed by wholesale, retail and hotels (18.7%) and financial intermediation, real estate and business activities (14.7%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are expected to grow by 6.6%, 6.0% and 5.9%, respectively in 2019

Four major regions in Poland generated 52.8% of the country’s GDP and comprised 42.6% of the country’s population, as of 2018

Manufacturing attracted 43% of total FDI inflow in Poland in 2018

The overall WIG index recorded a marginal upward trend over the past year. As of November 18, 2019, WIG index stood at 60,129.8, compared to 57,404.7 on November 15, 2018

Scope

  • According to the World Bank's logistics performance index (LPI), transport and logistic infrastructure in Poland improved over the last two years with an improvement in ranking from 33rd in 2016 to 28th out of 160 countries in 2018
Reasons to buy
  • Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.
  • PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations
  • Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.
  • This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.


Did you Know? 4
Country Highlights 5
Country Snapshot 7
PESTLE Insights 21
Political Landscape 22
Economic Landscape 23
Social Landscape 30
Technological Landscape 33
Legal Landscape 36
Environmental Landscape 37
Outlook 38
List of Figures
Exhibit 1: Poland’s Performance in the Country Risk Analysis in Comparison to East Europe and the World (2018) 11
Exhibit 2: Performance Overview (Score: 1-100) 11
Exhibit 3: Broad Categories and Weights behind the Index 12
Exhibit 4: Warsaw Stock Market Index (WIG) 14
Exhibit 5: Key Sectors Contribution to the Economy 15
Exhibit 6: FDI Inflow (2016-2018) and FDI by type of investment (2018) 16
Exhibit 7: FDI by Regions (2018) and FDI by Country (2018) 18
Exhibit 8: Key Infrastructure Indicators 20
Exhibit 9: Real GDP and Household Consumption Growth Rate (2014-2021f) 24
Exhibit 10: Real GDP Growth Rate Comparison (2018) 24
Exhibit 11: Export, Import and Trade Balance (2014-2021f) 25
Exhibit 12: Current Account Balance (2014-2021f) 25
Exhibit 13: Top Three Commodity Exports, % of Total Exports, 2015-2018 26
Exhibit 14: Nuclear Reactors, Boilers, and Machinery % of World Total, 2018 26
Exhibit 15: Interest Rates 28
Exhibit 16: Exchange Rate (2014-2021f) 28
Exhibit 17: Public Finance (2014-2021f) 29
Exhibit 18: General Government Debt (2014-2021f) 29
Exhibit 19: Employment/Unemployment (2014-2021f) 31
Exhibit 20: Average Annual Wages (2014-2021f) 31
Exhibit 21: Labour Cost Index (2014-2021f) 31
Exhibit 22: Rural/Urban Share of Total Population (1990, 2000, 2010, 2020) 32
Exhibit 23: Age-group Share of Total Population (2000, 2010, 2020) 32
Exhibit 24: Gender Split (1990, 2000, 2010, 2020) 32
Exhibit 25: Internet Users % of Total Population, Mobile and Broadband Penetration Rate, 2018 34
Exhibit 26: Number of Patents Granted Per Million Population, 2018 35
Exhibit 27: High-technology Exports (% of manufactured exports) 2018 35
Exhibit 28: Doing Business in Poland 2020 36
Exhibit 29: Corruption Perception Index (Rankings) 2018 36
Exhibit 30: CO2 Emissions (2012-2017) 37

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