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2016 Central Europe Outlook

2016 Central Europe Outlook

Overview

Central European markets (including countries in both Central and Southeastern Europe) are enjoying improving growth, assisted by stable export demand from the EU and rising domestic purchasing power.

The region’s relative insulation from the global trends affecting emerging markets this year makes it unique, and the likelihood of any major disruptive risks to its growth is low.

Multinational companies will increasingly look for profitable opportunities in Central Europe, causing competition to rise. All of these trends will likely continue well beyond 2016, meaning firms can set in place strategic plans this year that will be relevant for the region for the longer term.

What you will learn

  • What are the main drivers shaping the outlook for Central Europe
  • How will the country-level outlooks for Poland, Hungary and Romania evolve
  • Which scenarios and disruptors will have the greatest impact on the region


Executive Summary
Section 1: 2016 Central Europe Outlook & Main Drivers
  FSG View on Central Europe
  Central Europe Differs Radically from CIS
  Is Central European Growth Sustainable
  Driver 1: Eurozone Growth
  Driver 2: Consumer Demand
  Driver 3: Low Inflation Environment
  Driver 4: Low Interest Rates
  Driver 5: Public Spending
  Driver 6: Political Shifts
  Recommendations for Action
Section 2: Country Outlooks
  Poland Outlook
  Hungary Outlook
  Romania Outlook
Section 3: Scenarios & Disruptors of Performance in 2016
  Central Europe in 2016: Scenarios Overview
  Central Europe in 2016: Disruptor Summary
  Disruptor #1: Eurozone Recession
  Disruptor #2: Schengen Disintegration
  Disruptor #3: China Financial Crisis
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