2016 Central Europe Outlook
Overview
Central European markets (including countries in both Central and Southeastern Europe) are enjoying improving growth, assisted by stable export demand from the EU and rising domestic purchasing power.
The region’s relative insulation from the global trends affecting emerging markets this year makes it unique, and the likelihood of any major disruptive risks to its growth is low.
Multinational companies will increasingly look for profitable opportunities in Central Europe, causing competition to rise. All of these trends will likely continue well beyond 2016, meaning firms can set in place strategic plans this year that will be relevant for the region for the longer term.
What you will learn
- What are the main drivers shaping the outlook for Central Europe
- How will the country-level outlooks for Poland, Hungary and Romania evolve
- Which scenarios and disruptors will have the greatest impact on the region
- Executive Summary
- Section 1: 2016 Central Europe Outlook & Main Drivers
- FSG View on Central Europe
- Central Europe Differs Radically from CIS
- Is Central European Growth Sustainable
- Driver 1: Eurozone Growth
- Driver 2: Consumer Demand
- Driver 3: Low Inflation Environment
- Driver 4: Low Interest Rates
- Driver 5: Public Spending
- Driver 6: Political Shifts
- Recommendations for Action
- Section 2: Country Outlooks
- Poland Outlook
- Hungary Outlook
- Romania Outlook
- Section 3: Scenarios & Disruptors of Performance in 2016
- Central Europe in 2016: Scenarios Overview
- Central Europe in 2016: Disruptor Summary
- Disruptor #1: Eurozone Recession
- Disruptor #2: Schengen Disintegration
- Disruptor #3: China Financial Crisis
- About Frontier Strategy Group
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