Biogas to Energy – The World Market for Biogas Plants (Analyst Version)
The worldwide construction of new biogas plants will continue in the next 10 years. Between 2016 and 2025,
the installed capacity will increase from around 7,000 MWel to 9,600 MWel, while the number of biogas plants
will grow from circa 12,000 to 15,000.
Subsidies for electricity, heat or fuel produced in biogas facilities will remain the main driver for this
development. However, as many (especially European) countries cut their support schemes, this
development will not be as dynamic as in the early 2010s. These reductions show the most severe impacts
in the formerly dominating German market.
Many market players are thus exploring new ways for doing business. Apart from tapping new international
sales markets, many technology providers are currently developing their service business related to
optimising existing plants (repowering).
Against this backdrop, ecoprog GmbH has once again analysed, together with local partners, the global
market for biogas plants. This is the fourth edition of our study.
The Analyst version of the market study “Biogas to Energy” includes:
- A detailed analysis of the essential political, economic, managerial and technological trends for
constructing and operating biogas plants.
- A concrete description of the current and future market volumes by countries, up to and including
2025, based on a transparent and comprehensible methodology.
- A presentation and analysis of the most important biogas plant operators and manufacturers.
- 1 Plants
- 1.1 Plants worldwide
- 1.2 Europe
- 1.3 North America
- 1.4 South and Central America
- 1.5 Asia
- 1.6 Australia and Pacific
- 1.7 Africa and Middle East
- 2 Market development
- 2.1 Global market development
- 2.2 Europe
- 2.3 North America
- 2.4 South and Central America
- 2.5 Asia
- 2.6 Australia and Pacific
- 2.7 Africa and Middle East
- 3 Competition
- 3.1 Operators
- 3.2 Plant manufacturers
- 4 National markets
- 4.1 Asia
- China
- India
- Other Asian countries – overview
- Indonesia
- Kazakhstan
- Malaysia
- Nepal
- Qatar
- Papua New Guinea
- Philippines
- Pakistan
- South Korea
- Taiwan
- Thailand
- Vietnam
- 4.2 Europe
- Austria
- Belgium
- Czech Republic
- Denmark
- Finland
- France
- Germany
- Hungary
- Ireland
- Italy
- Latvia
- Netherlands
- Content
- ecoprog
- Poland
- Portugal
- Slovakia
- Slovenia
- Spain
- Sweden
- Switzerland
- United Kingdom
- Other European countries – overview
- Belarus
- Bulgaria
- Croatia
- Cyprus
- Estonia
- Greece
- Iceland
- Lithuania
- Luxembourg
- Malta
- Macedonia
- Moldavia
- Norway
- Romania
- Russia
- Serbia
- Turkey
- Ukraine
- 4.3 North America
- Canada
- USA
- 4.4 South and Central America
- Brazil
- Other South American countries – overview
- Argentina
- Bolivia
- Chile
- Honduras
- Cuba
- Mexico
- Peru
- Puerto Rico
- Uruguay
- 4.5 Australia and Pacific
- Japan
- Australia
- 4.6 Africa and Middle East
- Israel
- Kenya
- Morocco
- Nigeria
- South Africa
- Part II: Background
- 5 Differentiation and definitions
- 5.1 Differentiation
- 5.2 Differentiation by substrates
- 5.3 Differentiation by types of fermentation
- 6 Plant technology
- 6.1 Delivery and processing of the biomass
- 6.2 Fermentation technology
- 6.3 Anaerobic fermentation of biomass
- 6.4 Biogas applications
- 6.5 Applications of digestates
- 7 Costs and revenues of biogas plants
- 7.1 Investment costs
- 7.2 Current costs
- 7.3 Revenues
- 8 Market factors and framework conditions
- 8.1 RE legislation
- 8.2 Waste legislation in Europe
- 8.3 EU legislation after 2020
- 8.4 Current trends on the biogas market
- 8.5 Procurement of substrates
- 8.6 What biogas plants are criticised for
- 8.7 Biogas generation potential
- 9 Planning a biogas plant project
- 9.1 Project idea
- 9.2 Preliminary planning: analysis of the existing situation
- 9.3 Pre-feasibility study
- 9.4 Negotiation phase
- 9.5 Awarding
- 9.6 Approvals
- 9.7 Deciding the type of biogas use
- 9.8 Choosing a manufacturer / technology provider
- 9.9 Calculating profitability
- 9.10 Construction, construction supervision, commissioning
- Glossary
- Methodology and sources
- Annex B: forecasts
- Table of figures
- Figure 1: Number of biogas plants worldwide
- Figure 2: Installed capacities in biogas plants worldwide
- Figure 3: Average size of existing biogas plants
- Figure 4: Age of biogas plants worldwide
- Figure 5: Substrates used in biogas plants worldwide
- Figure 6: Number and capacities of biogas plants in Europe
- Figure 7: Substrates used in biogas plants in Europe
- Figure 8: Number and capacities of biogas plants in North America
- Figure 9: Substrates used in biogas plants in North America
- Figure 10: Number and capacities of biogas plants in South America
- Figure 11: Substrates used in biogas plants in South America
- Figure 12: Number and capacities of biogas plants in Asia
- Figure 13: Substrates used in biogas plants in Asia
- Figure 14: Number and capacities of biogas plants in Australia and Pacific
- Figure 15: Substrates used in biogas plants in Australia and Pacific
- Figure 16: Number and capacities of biogas plants in Africa and Middle East
- Figure 17: Substrates used in biogas plants in Africa and Middle East
- Figure 18: Market forecast worldwide
- Figure 19: Worldwide annual growth of number and capacities of biogas plants
- Figure 20: Development of regional share of installed capacities worldwide
- Figure 21: Installed capacity by regions and countries 2016-2025
- Figure 22: Total investments 2016-2015
- Figure 23: Investments in new construction as well as maintenance and modernisation 2016-2015
- Figure 24: Forecast of newly constructed plants in Europe 2016-2025
- Figure 25: Forecast of newly constructed capacities in Europe 2016-2025
- Figure 26: Forecast of newly constructed plants in North America 2016-2025
- Figure 27: Forecast of newly constructed capacities in North America 2016-2025
- Figure 28: Forecast of newly constructed plants in Asia 2016-2025
- Figure 29: Forecast of newly constructed capacities in Asia 2016-2025
- Figure 30: Market shares of most important manufacturers of biogas plants constructed 2011-2015
- Figure 31: Ranking of the largest plant manufacturers, by installed capacities (2011-2015)
- Figure 32: Market forecast of biogas plants generating electricity in China
- Figure 33: Project outlook China
- Figure 34: Electricity generation by energy sources in China
- Figure 35: Chinese agricultural biogas plants 2014
- Figure 36: Market forecast India
- Figure 37: Project outlook India
- Figure 38: RE development targets in India
- Figure 39: Investment grants for small biogas plants in India
- Figure 40: Electricity generation by energy sources in India
- Figure 41: Market forecast Indonesia
- Figure 42: Market forecast Malaysia
- Figure 43: Market forecast Philippines
- Figure 44: Market forecast South Korea
- Figure 45: Market forecast Thailand
- Figure 46: Market forecast Vietnam
- Figure 47: Project outlook other Asian countries
- Figure 48: Market forecast Austria
- Figure 49: Project outlook Austria
- Figure 50: Electricity generation by energy sources in Austria
- Figure 51: Biogas subsidies in Austria 2016/2017
- Figure 52: Market forecast Belgium
- Figure 53: Project outlook Belgium
- Figure 54: Electricity generation by energy sources in Belgium
- Figure 55: Market forecast Czech Republic
- Figure 56: Project outlook Czech Republic
- Figure 57: Electricity generation by energy sources in the Czech Republic
- Figure 58: Market forecast Denmark
- Figure 59: Project outlook Denmark
- Figure 60: Electricity generation by energy sources in Denmark
- Figure 61: Market forecast Finland
- Figure 62: Project outlook Finland
- Figure 63: Electricity generation by energy sources in Finland
- Figure 64: Development of electricity price in Finland
- Figure 65: Market forecast France
- Figure 66: Project outlook France
- Figure 67: Competition of plant manufacturers in France
- Figure 68: Feed-in tariff for biogas in France 2016
- Figure 69: Tariffs for injections into the gas grid from ab April 2016 onwards
- Figure 70: Electricity generation by energy sources in France
- Figure 71: Market forecast Germany
- Figure 72: Project outlook Germany
- Figure 73: Shares of biogas plant manufacturers in Germany > 500 kWel
- Figure 74: RE targets in Germany by 2030
- Figure 75: Assessment basis for biogas electricity subsidisation from 2017 onwards (June 2016)
- Figure 76: Electricity generation by energy sources in Germany
- Figure 77: Biogas plants in Germany by size groups
- Figure 78: Substrates used in biogas plants in Germany by volume and energy
- Figure 79: Substrates used (by volume) in biogas plants of different size groups
- Figure 80: Market forecast Hungary
- Figure 81: Project outlook Hungary
- Figure 82: Feed-in tariffs in Hungary 2016
- Figure 83: Electricity generation by energy sources in Hungary
- Figure 84: Market forecast Ireland
- Figure 85: Project outlook Ireland
- Figure 86: Electricity generation by energy sources in Ireland
- Figure 87: Market forecast Italy
- Figure 88: Project outlook Italy
- Figure 89: Market shares of plant producers in Italy
- Figure 90: Subsidisation scheme in Italy 2016
- Figure 91: Compensation rates from 2017 onwards (draft)
- Figure 92: Electricity generation by energy sources in Italy
- Figure 93: Market forecast Latvia
- Figure 94: Electricity generation by energy sources in Latvia
- Figure 95: Market forecast Netherlands
- Figure 96: Project outlook Netherlands
- Figure 97: Electricity generation by energy sources in the Netherlands
- Figure 98: Feed-in tariff in the Netherlands (Phase 1/2016)
- Figure 99: Market forecast Poland
- Figure 100: Project outlook Poland
- Figure 101: Reference prices for biogas in the auction system (draft, as of 09/2015)
- Figure 102: Electricity generation by energy sources in Poland
- Figure 103: Market forecast Portugal
- Figure 104: Project outlook Portugal
- Figure 105: Electricity generation by energy sources in Portugal
- Figure 106: Market forecast Slovakia
- Figure 107: Project outlook Slovakia
- Figure 108: Electricity generation by energy sources in Slovakia
- Figure 109: Market forecast Slovenia
- Figure 110: Project outlook Slovenia
- Figure 111: Electricity generation by energy sources in Slovenia
- Figure 112: Market forecast Spain
- Figure 113: Project outlook Spain
- Figure 114: Electricity generation by energy sources in Spain
- Figure 115: Market forecast Sweden
- Figure 116: Project outlook Sweden
- Figure 117: Electricity generation by energy sources in Sweden
- Figure 118: Origin and biogas use in Sweden (2014)
- Figure 119: Market forecast Switzerland
- Figure 120: Project outlook Switzerland
- Figure 121: Feed-in tariff in Switzerland 2016
- Figure 122: Electricity generation by energy sources in Switzerland
- Figure 123: Market forecast UK
- Figure 124: Projekt outlook UK
- Figure 125: Competitive structure in the UK
- Figure 126: Feed-in rate in the UK 2016-2019
- Figure 127: Subsidies through the Renewable Heat Incentive 2016
- Figure 128: Maximum ”strike price“ for the contracts of difference (CFD) von 2014-2019*
- Figure 129: Electricity generation by energy sources in UK
- Figure 130: Market forecast Bulgaria
- Figure 131: Biogas feed-in tariffs in Croatia (2016)
- Figure 132: Market forecast Croatia
- Figure 133: Market forecast Cyprus
- Figure 134: Market forecast Estonia
- Figure 135: Market forecast Greece
- Figure 136: Market forecast Iceland
- Figure 137: Current subsidisation structure in Lithuania
- Figure 138: Market forecast Lithuania
- Figure 139: Market forecast Luxembourg
- Figure 140: Market forecast Norway
- Figure 141: Market forecast Romania
- Figure 142: Market forecast Russia
- Figure 143: Market forecast Serbia
- Figure 144: Market forecast Turkey
- Figure 145: Market forecast Ukraine
- Figure 146: Project outlook other European countries
- Figure 147: Market forecast Canada
- Figure 148: Project outlook Canada
- Figure 149: Electricity generation by energy sources in Canada
- Figure 150: Renewables Portfolio Standards (RPSs) in Canada
- Figure 151: FIT Program in Ontario: feed-in tariffs for biogas plants
- Figure 152: Market forecast USA
- Figure 153: Project outlook USA
- Figure 154: Electricity generation by energy sources in the USA
- Figure 155: Renewable Portfolio Standards in the USA 2015
- Figure 156: Annual development of biogas plants in the USA
- Figure 157: Market forecast Brazil
- Figure 158: Project outlook Brazil
- Figure 159: Electricity generation by energy sources in Brazil
- Figure 160: Project outlook other South and Central American countries
- Figure 161: Market forecast Japan
- Figure 162: Project outlook Japan
- Figure 163: Electricity generation by energy sources in Japan
- Figure 164: Market forecast Australia
- Figure 165: Project outlook Australia
- Figure 166: Market forecast Kenya
- Figure 167: Project outlook Africa and Middle East
- Figure 168: Biogas in the energy industry
- Figure 169: Geographical differentiation of market regions
- Figure 170: Gas generation from biomass
- Figure 171: Design of a biogas plant
- Figure 172: Exemplary delivery and processing of biowaste
- Figure 173: Cylindrical fermenter
- Figure 174: Example of a plug flow fermenter
- Figure 175: Vertical tall tube fermenter
- Figure 176: Garage fermenter
- Figure 177: Stages of biogas generation
- Figure 178: Average biogas yield and methane content of different substrates
- Figure 179: Ways of using the biogas and the generated energy
- Figure 180: Average investments by region
- Figure 181: Exemplary investment costs of different biogas plants in Germany
- Figure 182: Cost examples from Germany and France
- Figure 183: Average investment costs of biogas plants (cofermentation plant with CHP unit)
- Figure 184: Average current costs of biogas plants (cofermentation plant with CHP unit)
- Figure 185: Exemplary calculation of revenues of a 500-kWel cofermenter (EEG 2012/2014)
- Figure 186: RE support schemes worldwide
- Figure 187: Subsidisation systems by country
- Figure 188: Goals of EU member states for expanding bio, landfill and sewage gas
- Figure 189: Limit values for biogas plants > 1 MWel in Europe
- Figure 190: Reduction of landfilling biodegradable waste until the 3rd deadline
- Figure 191: Landfill Directive deadlines and reductios by 3rd deadline
- Figure 192: Measures for reducing landfilling in the EEA
- Figure 193: Waste hierarchy
- Figure 194: Decision and implementation of the EU Waste Framework Directive
- Figure 195: Capacity increases in existing biogas plants in Germany
- Figure 196: Development of maize and wheat prices
- Figure 197: Production and treatment of MSW in the EU-27
- Figure 198: Food and feeding stuff industry in Europe
- Figure 199: Rough time and cost planning for a biowaste AD plant
- Figure 200: Conception
- Figure 201: Awarding
- Figure 202: Planning
- Figure 203: Construction