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Power Generaton: Top Five Trends for 2019 and Beyond

Power Generaton: Top Five Trends for 2019 and Beyond

Summary

Power generation is experiencing a series of trends which will shape the market for decades to come. Coal is seemingly on a terminal decline, to be replaced by natural gas, and renewable energy is making substantial strides to become more commercially relevant.

Advances ensure new power sources are moving closer to becoming part of the mainstream, with problems such as using renewable energy on demand now being solved. Leading companies in power generation must stay ahead of the development curve in these areas - failure to do so will mean allowing rivals to gain crucial competitive advantages at a time of great change.

Key Highlights

  • Most signs point towards natural gas continuing to become the dominant form of energy production in the near-future.
  • New generations of renewable power generation technology are predicted to shake-up the energy mix of whole nations on a long-term basis.
  • The development of lithium-ion battery arrays capable of filling in gaps in power supply, and molten salt power plants able to provide renewable energy on demand for hours at a time, reveals the commercial breakthrough moment is drawing near.
Scope
  • Examines the sale of nuclear technology around the world
  • Looks at the future of renewable technology
  • Assesses the long-term future of coal fired power-stations
  • Assesses the rise of natural gas as a power source
  • Examines the commercial potential of new energy storage solutions
Reasons to buy
  • Will energy storage solutions become commercially viable?
  • Do coal-fired power plants have a future?
  • Will natural gas dominate coal?
  • How significant is the sale of cheap nuclear reactors?
  • Will new generations of renewable energy technology achieve commercial relevancy?


Overview
Catalyst
Summary
Russia and China nuclear exports are thriving - both will continue to do so
Chinese nuclear power plants are growing global force in power generation
China is developing critical interests in the United Kingdom, demonstrating the desire from Beijing to spread to wealthy economies
Russia is leading exporter of nuclear power technology, enabling new countries to develop networks
Efforts to revitalize coal are unlikely to succeed as natural gas expands
Coal is in decline as a means of generating power - latest US policies are unlikely to change that trend
Natural gas fired power plants overtake coal in developed nations
Coal power plants are closing as energy providers move elsewhere, leaving way open for natural gas
Liquefied Natural Gas playing increasing role in speeding up transition from coal to gas
Next generation renewable energy to shake up power grid
Solar furnaces are becoming more powerful, creating a new option in renewable energy
Tidal and wave power generation moves closer to commercial viability, potentially transforming energy markets
Geothermal energy is edging towards mainstream power generation, helping developing countries
Mass scale energy storage is becoming commercial reality
Tesla battery in South Australia has proven commercial worth - it is likely to be replicated elsewhere
Battery technology is gaining serious attention in California, suggesting a long-term trend is just beginning
Molten salt energy storage is advancing at speed, offering power generation capabilities batteries cannot match
Costs of molten salt energy storage are coming down at speed, making the business case for much wider use
Despite decline, coal remains important and is becoming more efficient
Ultra-supercritical coal finds significant gains in efficiency, slowing decline in usage
Coal is in decline but will continue to be the dominant power source
Conclusions
Power generation industry is entering a challenging period of significant change
Appendix
Sources
Further Reading
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Disclaimer
List of Tables
Table 1: Nuclear power plants under construction in China due for completion between 2018 and 2020 6
Table 2: Nuclear power stations outside of China and Russia to be completed between September 2018 and 2021 8
Table 3: CSP plants with molten salt 19
List of Figures
Figure 1: Hinkley Point C construction, United Kingdom 7
Figure 2: US coal consumption 2006-2017 (millions tons oil equivalent) 10
Figure 3: Global power generation (quadrillion British Thermal Units) forecast for coal and natural gas 11
Figure 4: Floating LNG regasification capacity by region 13
Figure 5: Gemasolar power plant, Seville, Spain 14
Figure 6: MeyGen project 15
Figure 7: Tesla South Australia Battery 17
Figure 8: Calpine, Guadalupe Energy Center 18
Figure 9: UK coal production and consumption 1800-2016 (Million tons of oil equivalent) 21
Figure 10: Percentage of US power generation from fossil fuels, 2006-2017 22

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