Type 2 Diabetes: Epidemiology Forecast to 2028
Type 2 diabetes (T2D), formerly known as non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus or adult-onset diabetes mellitus, is a chronic disorder of glucose equilibrium that results from the body’s inability to make use of available insulin along with relative insulin deficiency (World Health Organization, 2016a). T2D constitutes approximately 90-95% of all diabetes cases around the world, while type 1 diabetes (T1D) and gestational diabetes make up the remaining 5-10% of the cases (International Diabetes Federation, 2014).
GlobalData epidemiologists utilized historical data obtained from peer-reviewed articles and reports to build the forecast for the diagnosed prevalent cases of T2D in the 9MM. GlobalData epidemiologists applied the prevalence of T2D drawn from the above sources to each country’s population to calculate the prevalent cases T2D and major comorbidities of T2D, such as chronic kidney disease (CKD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), obesity, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and atherosclerosis in the diagnosed T2D prevalent population.
The following data describes the epidemiology of T2D. In the 9MM, GlobalData epidemiologists forecast an increase in the diagnosed prevalent cases of T2D from 164,826,095 diagnosed prevalent cases in 2018 to 212,237,385 diagnosed prevalent cases in 2028, with an annual growth rate (AGR) of 2.88% during the forecast period. India will have the highest number of diagnosed prevalent cases of T2D among the 9MM throughout the forecast period, while Spain will have the lowest. When examining the AGR of diagnosed prevalence of T2D in individual markets, GlobalData epidemiologists forecast that France will see the highest AGR of 5.60% during the forecast period, while Japan will show the lowest AGR of 0.39%.
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