Latin America 2020 Outlook

Latin America 2020 Outlook

Overview

Latin America will grow at a slightly higher pace in 2020, buoyed by Brazil's faster recovery, but most other countries will perform at 2019 levels. Weak growth in the region follows a global trend of weaker trade dynamism, flat commodity prices, and higher exposure to trade and policy disruptions. Relative to past years, central banks in Latin America are better equipped to encourage consumption and investment through lax monetary policy, but governments will remain fiscally constrained. As regional executives plan for 2020 they should consider prioritizing resilient markets, relying on new digital tools to create and capture customer value, and making sure that their organizational footprints and channels are responsive enough to unexpected market changes.

What you will learn

  • What are the key trends businesses need to prepare for
  • How to defend against major shifts in the global economic environment
  • Understand how companies across the region can take action now
What you will receive
  • Immediate access to the 52-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
  • Special discounts on future report purchases


Executive Summary
Looking Back at 2019
LATAM's New Normal Has Been Extremely Weak
2019 Will Not Be the Year of Strong Recovery After All
Companies Have Outperformed 2018 But Missed Targets
Other Emerging-Market Regions Have Suffered As Well
Year-End Growth Numbers Will Pale Against 2018
2020 Outlook & Scenarios
2020 Does Not Look Much Different Than 2019
Factor 1: Political Uncertainty Will Linger Into 2020
Investors Will Turn More Bullish on Brazil
Companies Should Expect Political Continuity in the US
Factor 2: Global Growth Will Continue to Decelerate
Trade Growth Will Remain Weak Until Inventories Clear
Commodity Prices Will Remain Flat Year on Year
Flat Commodity Prices Bode Well For Investment
A US Recession Is Not Expected in the Short Term
Tourism and Remittances Will Stay Resilient
A US-China Trade War Truce Is Likely In 2020
US-China Trade Tensions Create Risks and Opportunities for LATAM
Factor 3: Global Financial Conditions
Low Interest Rates Will Support Credit Expansion
All In All, Growth Will Stay at 2019 Levels
Scenario Planning Will Remain Key
Currencies Will Remain Weak Against the US Dollar
Country Outlooks
Brazil Outlook
Mexico Outlook
Argentina Outlook
Colombia Outlook
Chile Outlook
Peru Outlook
Venezuela Outlook
Ecuador Outlook
Central America Outlook
Caribbean Outlook
Strategic Priorities for 2020
Strategic Priorities for 2020
Consider Resilience in Market Prioritization
Increase Responsiveness of Org. Footprint
Strengthen Government Engagement
Capture Opportunities Created By Digitalization
Encourage Customer Centricity
Plan for Market Disruption
Enhance Market-Monitoring Capabilities
Be Strategic About Course Correction
Improve Alignment and Resilience
About DuckerFrontier

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