2020 Global Outlook

2020 Global Outlook


With global growth forecasts falling steadily since Q4 2018 and myriad trade and policy disruptions in the past 12 months, executives will enter strategic planning season with less certainty on the future demand and regulatory environments than at any time in the previous decade. The global economy is expected to remain stable in 2020, but risks are tilted to the downside. A manufacturing slowdown that has weighed on global activity in 2019 is expected to fade gradually as firms adjust production lower, price discounting helps clear inventory builds, and central banks and governments step in with monetary and fiscal easing to support consumer demand. Firms should approach 2020 with caution, continuing to target resilient customer bases while focusing on risk mitigation strategies.

What you will learn

  • DuckerFrontier's global growth forecast updates for 2020
  • Regional breakdowns of the economic outlook
  • Actions for multinationals to take to win globally
What you will receive
  • Immediate access to the 51-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
  • Special discounts on future report purchases

Executive Summary
Global Outlook for 2020
Global Growth Forecasts for 2019 Have Fallen Steadily
High Amount of Uncertainty in the Global Outlook for 2020
The Global Economy Could Tip Into a Slowdown
Expect Slower - But Broader - Global Growth in 2020
Weak Import Demand From China Will Continue
Weak Demand Led to Global Inventory Builds
Firms Have Reduced Output to Stem Inventory Builds
Trade Growth Will Remain Weak Until Inventories Clear
Central Banks Have Stepped Up to Provide Support
Exports and Industrial Production Will Stabilize in 2020
2020 Hinges on Consumer Demand in Major Markets
Investment Will Remain Weak Across Markets
Oil Prices Across 2020 Will Average Below US$ 60/BBL
The US Dollar Will Remain Overvalued
Most Currencies Are Expected to Remain Stable in 2020
Trade Wars Will Continue to Weigh on Growth in 2020
Trump's Re-Election Complicates Trade Wars in 2020
Scenario Analysis Highlights the Risk of a Slowdown
Limited Upside, Significant Downside in Our Scenarios
Global and Regional Overviews
Global Economy in 2020
Global Growth Continues But Decelerates
Our View on Asia Pacific
APAC: Heightened Risks to Manage in 2020
Our View on North America
North America: Continued Opportunities for B2Cs
Our View on Western Europe
WEUR: More Fragile and Exposed to Risks
Our View on Central Europe
CE: Markets Continue to Slow Down in 2020
Our View on CIS
CIS: The Region Continues to Recover
Our View on Sub-Saharan Africa
SSA: Demand Will Grow Across the Region
Our View on the Middle East and North Africa
MENA: Economies Adjust to the New Normal
Our View on Latin America
LATAM: Low Growth Convergence
Strategic Priorities for 2020
Strategic Priorities for 2020
Improve Alignment in the Global Organization
Pressure-Test Your Market Portfolio
Integrate Scenarios Into 2020 Planning
Localizing a Strategic Imperative
Capture Opportunities Created By Digitalization
Create and Capture Value With Customers
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