2020 Global Outlook
Overview
With global growth forecasts falling steadily since Q4 2018 and myriad trade and policy disruptions in the past 12 months, executives will enter strategic planning season with less certainty on the future demand and regulatory environments than at any time in the previous decade. The global economy is expected to remain stable in 2020, but risks are tilted to the downside. A manufacturing slowdown that has weighed on global activity in 2019 is expected to fade gradually as firms adjust production lower, price discounting helps clear inventory builds, and central banks and governments step in with monetary and fiscal easing to support consumer demand. Firms should approach 2020 with caution, continuing to target resilient customer bases while focusing on risk mitigation strategies.
What you will learn
- DuckerFrontier's global growth forecast updates for 2020
- Regional breakdowns of the economic outlook
- Actions for multinationals to take to win globally
- Immediate access to the 51-page PDF report
- Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
- Special discounts on future report purchases
- Executive Summary
- Global Outlook for 2020
- Global Growth Forecasts for 2019 Have Fallen Steadily
- High Amount of Uncertainty in the Global Outlook for 2020
- The Global Economy Could Tip Into a Slowdown
- Expect Slower - But Broader - Global Growth in 2020
- Weak Import Demand From China Will Continue
- Weak Demand Led to Global Inventory Builds
- Firms Have Reduced Output to Stem Inventory Builds
- Trade Growth Will Remain Weak Until Inventories Clear
- Central Banks Have Stepped Up to Provide Support
- Exports and Industrial Production Will Stabilize in 2020
- 2020 Hinges on Consumer Demand in Major Markets
- Investment Will Remain Weak Across Markets
- Oil Prices Across 2020 Will Average Below US$ 60/BBL
- The US Dollar Will Remain Overvalued
- Most Currencies Are Expected to Remain Stable in 2020
- Trade Wars Will Continue to Weigh on Growth in 2020
- Trump's Re-Election Complicates Trade Wars in 2020
- Scenario Analysis Highlights the Risk of a Slowdown
- Limited Upside, Significant Downside in Our Scenarios
- Global and Regional Overviews
- Global Economy in 2020
- Global Growth Continues But Decelerates
- Our View on Asia Pacific
- APAC: Heightened Risks to Manage in 2020
- Our View on North America
- North America: Continued Opportunities for B2Cs
- Our View on Western Europe
- WEUR: More Fragile and Exposed to Risks
- Our View on Central Europe
- CE: Markets Continue to Slow Down in 2020
- Our View on CIS
- CIS: The Region Continues to Recover
- Our View on Sub-Saharan Africa
- SSA: Demand Will Grow Across the Region
- Our View on the Middle East and North Africa
- MENA: Economies Adjust to the New Normal
- Our View on Latin America
- LATAM: Low Growth Convergence
- Strategic Priorities for 2020
- Strategic Priorities for 2020
- Improve Alignment in the Global Organization
- Pressure-Test Your Market Portfolio
- Integrate Scenarios Into 2020 Planning
- Localizing a Strategic Imperative
- Capture Opportunities Created By Digitalization
- Create and Capture Value With Customers
- About DuckerFrontier
Research Assistance
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