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Stakeholder Opinions: Diagnostics in Neurology - Predictive biomarkers expand drug revenues

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Jul. 7, 2008 - 152 Pages


Table of Contents


ABOUT DATAMONITOR HEALTHCARE
About the CNS pharmaceutical analysis team
CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Scope of the analysis
Contributing experts
Datamonitor insight into diagnostics in neurology
Related reports
CHAPTER 2 BACKGROUND
What is a diagnostic test?
Biomarkers - objective measures
Regulation of diagnostics
Imaging
In vitro diagnostics
European Union
United States
The value of a diagnostic test
Technical performance
Clinical performance
False positives and false negatives
CHAPTER 3 CURRENT DIAGNOSTIC TECHNIQUES AND CHALLENGES
Neurological conditions - differing disease pathophysiology influences biomarker unmet need
Delay to accurate diagnosis is particularly slow in Alzheimer's disease at present
Alzheimer's disease
Challenges for Alzheimer's disease biomarkers
Proposed criteria for effective biomarkers in Alzheimer's disease
Current diagnostic criteria
DSM-IV-TR
NINCDS-ADRDA
Recent revising suggestion - aiming for earlier detection
Functional tests
Mini-Mental Status Exam
Ruling out other conditions
Pathological diagnosis post-mortem
Time to accurate diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease
Parkinson's disease
Diagnosis is based on clinician observation of symptoms
Primary symptoms used for diagnosis
Neurological evaluation of Parkinson's disease
Ruling out disorders that produce parkinsonian symptoms
Current imaging techniques used by neurologists
Time to accurate diagnosis of Parkinson's disease
Multiple sclerosis
Current diagnostic technique includes MRI scans
Magnetic resonance imaging
Clinical signs and MRI might be enough for diagnosis
Spinal tap
Evoked Potential Tests
Differential diagnosis
Time to accurate diagnosis of multiple sclerosis
Epilepsy
Patient and family reported signs
Electroencephalography
Portable EEG
Magnetic Resonance Imaging
Genetic testing
Migraine
Insomnia
Basic requirements
Optional requirements
Clinical history
Sleep history
Polysomnography
Huntington's disease
Pre-symptomatic diagnosis, but no disease-modifying treatment
Predictive genetic test is available, but use is only moderate
Pre-implantation screening is rarely undertaken
Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
The El Escorial diagnostic criteria
CHAPTER 4 IMPACT OF FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS
Future disease diagnosis
Alzheimer's disease
Future diagnostic algorithm likely to include several biomarkers
Parkinson's disease
Disease-modifying drug will stimulate early diagnostics research
Multiple sclerosis
Comparatively mature diagnostic market with several biomarkers
Epilepsy
Patient reported events and electroencephalography (EEG) likely to remain the mainstay of diagnosis
Migraine and insomnia
Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Molecular biomarkers present high value market for diagnostic companies
Imaging companies
Genetic testing companies
In vitro assay companies
Benefit to pharmaceutical companies is substantial
Defined patient population leads to more targeted marketing
Earlier treatment results in greater revenues
Case studies-quantifying the impact of improved biomarkers on drug sales
Huntington's disease-pre-symptomatic at risk population-the lucrative untapped market
Alzheimer's disease-incorporation of patients with mild cognitive impairment
Benefit to patients is significant
Earlier treatment and pre-symptomatic medicine
Personalized medicine
More sophisticated drug development
Payers will welcome the clarity biomarkers offer
CHAPTER 5 FUTURE IMAGING TECHNOLOGIES
Definitions
Alzheimer's disease and mild cognitive impairment
Structural imaging
Radiotracer fluorodeoxyglucose
Beta-amyloid proves to be the dominant imaging biomarker
Beta-amyloid radioligands using PET scans
GE Healthcare's Pittsburgh Compound-B
Other beta-amyloid tracers
Acetylcholinesterase
Parkinson's disease
Radiotracers
GE Healthcare's DaTSCAN
Transcranial sonography
Other neurological diseases
Epilepsy
Multiple sclerosis
CHAPTER 6 FUTURE IN VITRO DIAGNOSTIC TESTS
Summary
Serum- and urine-based biomarkers (including genomics)
Alzheimer's disease and mild cognitive impairment
Power3's NuroPro protein serum biomarkers
Proteome Sciences' TMT technology mass spectrometry tool for protein biomarker development
Nymox Pharmaceutical's AlzheimAlert urine test
Genetic blood testing-DiaGenic and IMGM Laboratories
Pronucleon peptides, fluorescently labeled peptides for amyloid detection-Adlyfe
Sulfatide, possible specificity for mild Alzheimer's disease
Genomics, genetic susceptibility of sporadic form is becoming clear-Athena Diagnostics and others
Parkinson's disease
Neuromelanin-endogenous pigment identifies Parkinson's disease
Genomics, genetic susceptibility of sporadic form is becoming clear-Athena Diagnostics and others
Power 3's NuroPro
Multiple sclerosis
Anti-glycan antibodies in early stage patients-Glycominds
Plasma markers of the disease and Tysabri side effect-BG Medicine
Genomics in multiple sclerosis
Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Genomics of ALS-attention shifts to sporadic form
Other neurological diseases
Cerebrospinal fluid
Alzheimer's disease (AD)
Beta-amyloid and tau levels have been extensively studied
Isoprostane-8,12-iso-iPF2a-VI
Parkinson's disease
Neurofilament heavy-chain's expose axonal damage
Other neurological conditions
Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Multiple sclerosis
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Journal papers and conference abstracts
Websites
Datamonitor reports
APPENDIX
About Datamonitor
About Datamonitor Healthcare
Datamonitor Healthcare's therapy area capabilities
About the Disease analysis team
Disclaimer
List of Tables
Table 1: Comparative biomarker potential across key neurological diseases
Table 2: DSM-IV criteria for Alzheimer's disease type dementia
Table 3: Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale-cognition, behavior and mood
Table 4: New multiple sclerosis diagnostic criteria (McDonald criteria)
Table 5: Prevalence rate of mild cognitive impairment (MCI)
Table 6: A(1-42 in cerebrospinal fluid
List of Figures
Figure 1: Typical diagnostic biomarker development process
Figure 2: Distribution graph of biomarker accuracy
Figure 3: False positives and false negatives - distribution curve
Figure 4: Mean time between initial presentation to accurate diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease and multiple sclerosis
Figure 5: Time (months) from presentation to accurate diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease, 2006
Figure 6: Percentage of neurologists using each diagnostic imaging technique to make a diagnosis of Parkinson's disease, 2007
Figure 7: Time (months) from presentation to accurate diagnosis of Parkinson's disease, 2007
Figure 8: Current diagnostic algorithm for multiple sclerosis
Figure 9: MRI scan image of a multiple sclerosis patients brain, and a normal individual
Figure 10: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scanner
Figure 11: Time (months) from presentation to accurate diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS), 2006
Figure 12: An electroencephalograph (EEG)
Figure 13: Photograph of a portable eletroencephalography (EEG) unit
Figure 14: Genetic risk of developing Huntington's disease
Figure 15: Points of diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease
Figure 16: Revenue gain in the Alzheimer's disease market value with the inclusion of patients with amnestic mild cognitive impairment (amMCI), 2013-17

Abstract

Introduction

As advances in omics technologies enable the development of high value molecular diagnostics, neurological conditions represent an attractive target for diagnostic companies. In this report, Datamonitor identifies the diseases in which early detection with a biomarker could significantly benefit the patient, gain payer approval, and ultimately expand the pharmaceutical market.

Scope
  • Neurological conditions covered: Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, MS, epilepsy, migraine, insomnia, Huntington's disease and ALS.
  • Overview of key biomarkers in development for each condition (including genetics).
  • Identification of key factors required for the commercial success of neurological diagnostic biomarkers.
  • Analysis of potential drug revenue gains due to improved diagnostics in Alzheimer's disease.
Highlights

A battery or algorithm of tests for each disease is likely to be available within the next 10 years. This is already the case for multiple sclerosis, the most mature neurological diagnostic market, with both clinical, imaging and in vitro diagnostics incorporated in a clear algorithm.

Revenue gained from earlier use (identification and incorporation of mild cognitively impaired patients) of potentially disease-modifying drugs in Alzheimer's disease could generate an additional $5 billion by 2017 across the seven major markets (US, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK).

Neurology biomarker discovery and development is an attractive market for small biotechnology companies. The regulation of in vitro diagnostics is significantly less stringent than for pharmaceutical drugs. This decreases the considerable financial barriers to entry usually faced by biotechnology companies orientated towards drug discovery.

Reasons to Purchase
  • Assess which diseases have the highest unmet need for new biomarkers.
  • Appreciate the lucrative potential of earlier treatment of neurodegenerative conditions.
  • Forecast the impact of improved diagnostics on neurological drug sales.
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