US Tomographic Explosives Detection Systems (EDS) Technologies & Markets 2010 ¨C 2014

Published by: Homeland Security Research Corporation

Published: Jun. 1, 2009 - 170 Pages

Table of Contents

1. Scope

1.1. Basic Assumptions

1.1.1. Is There a Threat?

1.1.2. Possible Scenario Analysis

1.1.3. Additional Assumptions

1.2. Methodology

1.2.1. Research Methods

1.2.2. Report Structure

1.2.3. Who Is This Report For?

2. Executive Summary

2.1. Major Findings

2.2. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook - 2010-2014

2.3. Luggage and Air-Cargo Screening Technologies

2.4. EDS Enhanced Air-Cargo Screening Outlook

3. EDS Market - Drivers

4. EDS Market - Inhibitors

5. Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act on EDS Market

6. Current EDS Technologies

6.1. Background

6.2. Explosive Materials Classification

6.3. Current Luggage, Carry-on Bags and Parcel Screening Technologies

6.4. Bulk Screening - Current Technologies

6.4.1. Current Bulk Threat Detection Systems' Pros and Cons

6.4.2. Throughput

6.4.3. Present Tomographic EDS Technologies

6.4.4. Threat Image Projection (TIP)

6.4.5. Coherent Scatter EDS

6.5. Luggage Screening

6.5.1. Luggage Screening Systems Categories

6.5.2. Existing Luggage Screening Systems Deployment Strategy

6.5.3. Covert Testing Procedures of EDS Screened Checked Luggage

6.5.4. S&T Directorate Actions in Luggage Screening

6.6. Carry-on Bag Screening

6.7. Air Cargo Screening

6.7.1. Background

6.7.2. Cargo Security Policy

6.7.3. TSA Air Cargo Security Technology Pilot Tests

6.7.4. Evaluating Air Cargo EDS Technology

6.7.5. The Cost of 100% Air Cargo Screening

7. The Transportation Security Administration

8. TSA Checked Luggage EDS & ETD Screening Configurations

8.1.1. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - 1: High-Volume In-Line

8.1.2. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - 2: Medium-Volume In-Line

8.1.3. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - 3: Mini In-line Checked Luggage Screening System

8.1.4. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - 4: Stand-Alone EDS

8.1.5. Checked Luggage Screening Configuration - 5: Stand-Alone ETD (w/o EDS)

8.1.6. Alarm Resolution

9. EDS Certification

10. Checked Luggage Screening Design Methodology

10.1. Screening Zones Categorization

10.2. Checked Luggage Screening Projects TSA Funding

10.2.1. Types of Luggage Screening Projects That are Eligible for TSA Funding are:

10.2.2. Types of Luggage Screening Projects That are Non- eligible TSA Funded Projects

10.2.3. The TSA Facility Modification Project Prioritization

11. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook - 2010-2014

11.1. EDS Market Forecast - 2010-2014

11.1.1. EDS Equipment Purchasing Prices

11.1.2. EDS Equipment Market Outlook - 2010-2014

11.1.3. EDS Equipment Market Forecast - 2010-2014

11.2. EDS Installation Costs Forecast - 2010-2014

11.2.1. EDS Installation Costs

11.2.2. EDS Installation Market Forecast - 2010-2014

11.3. EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market Forecast - 2010-2014

11.3.1. Screening Equipment Refurbishment and Upgrade Costs

11.3.2. EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market Forecast - 2010-2014

11.4. Building and Luggage Handling System Modifications Market Forecast - 2010-2014

11.4.1. Building and Luggage Handling System Modifications Costs

11.4.2. EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications Market Forecast

11.5. EDS Service Market Forecast - 2010-2014

11.5.1. EDS Service Costs

11.5.2. EDS Service Market Forecast - 2010-2014

11.6. Baggage Handling Systems [BHS] Service Market Forecast -

2010-2014

11.6.1. Incremental Baggage Handling System Service Costs

11.6.2. Baggage Handling Systems Service Market Forecast -

2010-2014

11.7. EDS Equipment Replacement Costs

12. EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data

12.1. Analogic - EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data

12.2. GE - EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data

12.3. L-3 - EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data

12.4. Reveal - Tomographic EDS: Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data

13. EDS Pricing Trends - 2010-2014

14. EDS Technology Outlook - 2010-2014

14.1. The Manhattan II Program

14.2. 2009-2011 Pipeline EDS Products & Technologies

14.3. Rapiscan High-Speed Stationary EDS

14.4. Liquid and Homemade Explosives Detection

14.5. MagVis Distinguishes Potential-Threat Liquids

14.6. Superconducting Quantum Interference Device (SQUID)

14.7. Quasi Tomographic EDS - 3D X-Ray

14.8. Gamma Resonance Tomography (GRT)

14.9. Advanced Coherent X-Ray Scattering EDS

15. Business & Technological Opportunities and Challenges

15.1. Introduction

15.2. Business Opportunity #1

15.3. Business Opportunity #2

15.4. Business Opportunity #3

15.5. Business Opportunity #4

15.6. Business Opportunity #5

16. EDS Vendors

16.1. GE Security and Sagem Sécurité (SAFRAN)

16.2. Analogic Corporation

16.3. L-3 Communications Security & Detection Systems

16.4. Reveal Imaging Technologies, Inc

16.5. Rapiscan Security Products, Inc.

17. Appendix A: TSA Air Cargo Facility Regulations

17.1. Introduction to Cargo Security

17.2. Airport - Cargo Processing Facilities

17.3. Operational Considerations

17.4. Access Control Considerations

17.5. Information and Requirement Resources

18. Appendix B: TSA Checked Luggage Systems

18.1. Background

18.2. Applicable Regulations

18.3. Protocols and Concept of Operations

18.4. ETD and EDS Key Performance Characteristics

19. Appendix C: Patent Review

19.1. Scope

19.2. Scatter & Coherent X-Ray Patents Review

19.3. Tomographic EDS Patent Review

19.4. Luggage Inspection Infrastructure Patent Review

20. Appendix D: Glossar

List of Tables

2. Executive Summary

Table 1 - USA Potential Targets Requiring EDS Screening

Table 2 - U.S. EDS Related Markets [$Million] - 2008-2014

Table 3 - U.S. EDS Related Markets [$Million] by Application - 2008-2014

6. Current EDS Technologies

Table 4 - Current Explosives Detection Bulk Technologies - Pros and Cons

Table 5 - Explosives, Drugs, and Common "Interruption" Innocuous Materials

7. The Transportation Security Administration

Table 6 - TSA Budget [$Million] and Its Aviation Security Component - 2001-2008

Table 7 - TSA Budget Structure

8. TSA Checked Luggage EDS & ETD Screening Configurations

Table 8 - Potential High-Volume EDS Machines - Equipment Assumptions

Table 9 - Potential Medium-Volume EDS Machines-Equipment Assumptions

Table 10 - Potential Mini In-Line EDS Machines-Equipment Assumptions

Table 11 - Potential Stand Alone EDS Machines - Equipment Assumptions

Table 12 - Potential ETD Machines-Equipment Assumptions

11. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook - 2010-2014

Table 13 - US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: Analogic

Table 14 - US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: GE

Table 15 - US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: L-3

Table 16 - US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: Reveal

Table 17 - EDS Equipment Market [$Million] Outlook - 2008-2014

Table 18 - EDS Equipment Market Share [%] by Application - 2008-2014

Table 19 - Components of Direct Installation Costs

Table 20 - Direct EDS & ETD Equipment Installation Cost by System Type

Table 21 - EDS Installation Market [$Million] - 2008-2014

Table 22 - Revenues from Installation of Tomographic EDS in the U.S. [%] - 2008-2014

Table 23 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing - Analogic

Table 24 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing - GE

Table 25 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing - L-3

Table 26 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing - Reveal

Table 27 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade [$Million] - 2008-2014

Table 28 - EDS Refurbishment & Upgrade [%] Market Share by Application - 2008-2014

Table 29 - Average Cost of Facility Modifications and Infrastructure by EDS & ETD Configuration

Table 30 - EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [$Million] Market - 2008-2014

Table 31 - Revenues from EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [%] - 2008-2014

Table 32 - EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model - Analogic

Table 33 - EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model - GE

Table 34 - EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model - L-3

Table 35 - EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model - Reveal

Table 36 - EDS Service Market Forecast [$Million] - 2008-2014

Table 37 - EDS Service Revenues [%] by Application - 2008 & 2014

Table 38 - Annual 1 Baggage Handling System Service Costs by Configuration

Table 39 - Baggage Handling System Market [$Million] Outlook - 2008-2014

Table 40 - Baggage Handling System Service Market [%] by Application - 2008-2014

Table 41 - Infrastructure Modification Costs for EDS Replacement by Configuration

12. EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data

Table 42 - EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor - Analogic

Table 43 - EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor - GE

Table 44 - EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor - L-3

Table 45 - EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor - Reveal

14. EDS Technology Outlook - 2010-2014

Table 46 - Expected Availability Date of Pipeline EDS Products

18. Appendix B: TSA Checked Luggage Systems

Table 47 - ETD Geometrical & Power Consumption Specification Characteristics

Table 48 - EDS Baggage Size & Weight Specifications

List of Figures

1. Scope

Figure 1 - Airport Explosives Threats Vectors

2. Executive Summary

Figure 2 - Air-Cargo Screening & Checked Luggagge Screening in the Ensemble of Airport Security Means

Figure 3 - Schematic Diagram of Checked Luggage Screening Levels

Figure 4 - Tomographic EDS Related Markets [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 5 - U.S. Air Cargo and Other EDS Related Markets Outlook [$Million] - 2008-2014

6. Current EDS Technologies

Figure 6 - Pam Am 103 - Lockerbie, Scotland

Figure 7 - Explosive Materials Classification

Figure 8 - Tomographic EDS Principle of Operation

Figure 9 - “Classic” Whole-Object EDS Scheme

Figure 10 - Material Differentiation by Dual Energy X-Ray

Figure 11 - Dual Energy Z Map

Figure 12 - The Analogic XLB1100, Dual Energy Inline Large Bore EDS

Figure 13 - The GE CTX Machine

Figure 14 - Coherent X-Ray Scheme

Figure 15 - Luggage-Parcel Screening and Explosives Detection Technologies

Figure 16 - “100% Tomographic EDS” Screening Flow Scheme

Figure 17 - “Fractional Tomographic EDS” Screening Flow Scheme

Figure 18 - U.S. Air Cargo Shipments: FAA Historic Data and Forecast (FY1999-FY2020)

Figure 19 - Flow of Cargo from Shipper to Air Carrier

Figure 20 - Screening Air Cargo Using Explosives Trace Detection and Loading It onto Passenger Aircraft

7. The Transportation Security Administration

Figure 21 - TSA Organizational Model

Figure 22 - TSA 2008 Budget [%] Structure - 2008

8. TSA Checked Luggage EDS & ETD Screening Configurations

Figure 23 - Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - 1

Figure 24 - Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration -2

Figure 25 - Schematic Visualization of a Mini in-Line System

Figure 26 - Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration -3 Mini In-Line System with Light Integration

Figure 27 - Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration - a Stand-Alone EDS

Figure 28 - Schematic Visualization of a Stand-Alone ETD System

11. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook - 2010-2014

Figure 29 - EDS Throughput [BPH] vs. System Price [$K]

Figure 30 - EDS Equipment Market [$Million] Outlook - 2008-2014

Figure 31 - EDS Equipment Sales Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 32 - EDS Installation Market [$Million] - 2008-2014

Figure 33 - EDS Market [%] by Application - 2008 & 2014

Figure 34 - EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market [$Million] Outlook - 2008-2014

Figure 35 - EDS Refurbishment & Upgrade [%] Market Share by Application - 2008 & 2014

Figure 36 - EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [$Million] Market - 2008-2014

Figure 37 - Revenues from EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 38 - EDS Service Market Forecast [$Million] - 2008-2014

Figure 39 - EDS Service Revenues [%] by Application - 2008 & 2014

Figure 40 - Baggage Handling System Market [$Million] Outlook - 2008-2014

Figure 41 - Revenues from Handling System [%] by Application - 2008 & 2014

14. EDS Technology Outlook - 2010-2014

Figure 42 - Conventional Rotary Gantry EDS

Figure 43 - Stationary Gantry EDS

Figure 44 - The RTT Prototype X-Ray Source

Figure 45 - The RTT EDS Prototype

Figure 46 - MagVis Images

Figure 47 - ULF-MRI RDT&E Program Timeline

Figure 48 - 3D Stereoscopic X-Ray Camera and Images

Figure 49 - 3D Stereoscopic X-Ray Luggage Inspection Scheme

Figure 50 - EDS-GRT - System Configuration

Figure 51 - EDS-GRT - Air Cargo Container Inspection

Figure 52 - EDS-GRT Small Cargo System Configuration

15. Business & Technological Opportunities and Challenges

Figure 53 - DHS S&T Explosives Division Functions

Figure 54 - Strategic Vision of TSA RDT&E

Figure 55 - The EDS Performance Criteria

Abstract

• Equipment Market
• Refurbishing and Upgrade Market
• EDS Baggage handling System
• EDS Installation and Replacement Market

• Checked-luggage screening
• Air Cargo screening
• Hand-Held baggage screening
• The report presents business opportunities, as well as pipeline EDS products and technologies that should address future requirement of the TSA.

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