US X-Ray Explosives Detection Technologies & Markets - 2010-2014

Published by: Homeland Security Research Corporation

Published: Aug. 1, 2009 - 114 Pages

Table of Contents

1 Scope

1.1 Basic Assumptions

1.1.1 Is There a Threat?

1.1.2 Possible Scenario Analysis

1.1.3 Additional Assumptions

1.2 Methodology

1.2.1 Research Methods

1.2.2 Report Structure

1.2.3 Who Is This Report For?

2 Executive Summary

2.1 Major Findings

2.2 Major Conclusions

2.3 The Economic Slowdown Impact on the Market

2.3.1 Economic Downturn Impacts on the X-Ray Screening Market

2.3.2 Economy Downturn Impacts on X-Ray Screening Submarkets

2.4 2D X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Market Outlook: 2010-2014

3 Market Drivers

4 Market Inhibitors

5 Current 2D X-Ray Technologies

5.1 Explosive Materials Classification

5.2 Explosives Screening Modalities

5.2.1 X-Ray vs. ETD and EDS Modalities

5.3 2D X-Ray Technologies

5.3.1 X-Ray Systems - Principles of Operation

5.3.2 Innocuous Materials Interference

5.3.3 Conventional 2D X-Ray

5.3.4 Dual Energy X-Ray

5.3.5 Quasi Dual Energy X-Ray

5.3.6 Variable-View X-Ray

5.3.7 Backscatter Screening X-Ray

5.3.8 Coherent Scatter 2D X-Ray

5.3.9 Threat Image Projection (TIP)

5.4 X-Ray Technologies: Performance Comparison

5.5 Explosives Screening Technologies: Price Comparison

6 2D X-Ray: TSA Product Certification

7 X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Outlook: 2010-2014

7.1 Air Cargo Screening

7.2 Airport Cabin Baggage Screening

7.3 Secured Facilities Explosives Screening

7.3.1 Secured Federal Facilities

7.4 Postal Items Explosives Screening

7.5 Supply Chain Cargo Explosives Screening

7.6 1st Responders X-Ray Equipment

7.7 Other X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems

8 Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Forecast: 2010-2014

9 Technology Outlook: 2010-2014

9.1 Fused X-Ray and ETD

9.2 Fused X-Ray Screening and RFID

9.3 Air-Cargo Containers Screening

9.4 Multi-Threat Multi-Modal Systems

9.5 Advanced Coherent X-Ray Scattering 2D X-Ray

9.6 Stereoscopic X-Ray Imaging

9.7 Multi-Pixel X-Ray Sources

10 Business & Technological Opportunities and Challenges

10.1 Introduction

10.2 Remote Tele-Interpretation

10.3 Medium Capacity Multi-Threat Screening Systems

10.4 Upgraded Multi Threat Screening System

10.5 Fused Technology Screening Systems With RFID and Risk Assessment Infrastructure

10.6 Third Party Service

11 Appendix A: DHS Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems

12 Appendix B: TSA Glossary

List of Tables

2. Executive Summary

Table 1 - USA Potential Targets Requiring Explosives Detection Screening

Table 2 - Economic Recession Impacts on X-Ray Explosives Detection Sub-markets

Table 3 - U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market [$ Million] - 2008-2014

Table 4 - U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market Structure [$ Million] - 2010-2014

Table 5 - U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection system Market [$ Million] - 2008-2014

5. Current 2D X-Ray Technologies

Table 6 - EDS, ETD and 2D X-Ray Technologies - Pros and Cons

Table 7 - Explosives, Drugs, and Common X-Ray "Interruption" Materials

Table 8 - Comparison of X-Ray Detection Technologies

Table 9 - Price Comparison of Bulk Explosives Screening Technologies

7. X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Outlook: 2010-2014

Table 10 - U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014

Table 11 - Air Cargo X-Ray Screening Market [Unit] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014

Table 12 - U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [$M] - 2008-2014

Table 13 - U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [Units] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014

Table 14 - U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Screening Market [$M] - 2008-2014

Table 15 - U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014

Table 16 - U.S. Postal Items X-ray Screening Market [$M] Outlook - 2008-2014

Table 17 - U.S. Postal Items X-ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014

Table 18 - U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014

Table 19 - U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014

Table 20 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014

Table 21 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014

Table 22 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014

Table 23 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014

8. Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Forecast: 2010-2014

Table 24 - U.S. X-ray Explosives Detection Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Sub-Markets [$ Million] Outlook: 2008-2014

Table 25 - Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Structure by Application [%] 2008-2014

9. Technology Outlook: 2010-2014

Table 26 - Pros and Cons of Multi-modal Technology

11. Appendix A: DHS Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems

Table 27 - Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems

Table 28 - Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems − Continued

Table 29 - Characterization of X-Ray Explosives Screening Systems − Continued

Table 30 - Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems - Continued

List of Figures

1. Scope

Figure 1 - Airport Explosives Threats Vectors

2. Executive Summary

Figure 2 - Cabin Bags Screening In the Ensemble of Airport Security Means

Figure 3 - X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market [$ Million] - 2010-2014

Figure 4 - X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market Structure [%] by Sub-market: 2008 & 2014

Figure 5 - U.S. X-Ray Explosives detection Systems Sales and Service Market Fragmentation [%] - 2008 & 2014

5. Current 2D X-Ray Technologies

Figure 6 - Explosive Materials Classification

Figure 7 - Major Explosives Detection Technologies: Bulk vs. Trace

Figure 8 - X-Ray Conveyor-Based Screening Systems - Principles of Operation

Figure 9 - Conventional X-Ray

Figure 10 - Dual Energy X-Ray

Figure 11 - Material Differentiation by Dual Energy X-Ray

Figure 12 - Dual Energy Z Map

Figure 13 - Quasi Dual Energy X-Ray

Figure 14 - Variable-View X-Ray Option

Figure 15 - Backscatter Cargo Screening X-Ray

Figure 16 - Coherent X-Ray Scheme

7. X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Outlook: 2010-2014

Figure 17 - U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014

Figure 18 - U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Systems and Service Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 19 - U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]

Figure 20 - U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Market Share [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 21 - U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [$M] - 2008-2014

Figure 22 - Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Systems and Service Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 23 - U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [Units]

Figure 24 - Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market Share [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 25 - Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008 -2014

Figure 26 - Secured Facilities X-Ray Screening Systems and Service Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 27 - U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]

Figure 28 - U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Share [%] 2008-2014

Figure 29 - U.S. Postal Items X-ray Screening Market [$M] Outlook - 2008-2014

Figure 30 - Postal Items X-ray Systems and Service Market [%] Structure - 2008 & 2014

Figure 31 - U.S. Postal Items X-ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]

Figure 32 - U.S. Postal Items X-ray Explosives Detection Market Share [%] -

Figure 33 - U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014

Figure 34 - Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Screening Systems and Service Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 35 - U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]

Figure 36 - U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Share [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 37 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014

Figure 38 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 39 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]

Figure 40 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Share [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 41 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014

Figure 42 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014

Figure 43 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]

Figure 44 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detectors Share [%] - 2008 & 2014

8. Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Forecast: 2010-2014

Figure 45 - U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market [$ Million] - 2008-2014

Figure 46 - Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Structure by Application [%] 2008 & 2014

9. Technology Outlook: 2010-2014

Figure 47 - Fused Modality Multi Threat (Explosives & Nuclear) Screening System

Figure 48 - 3D Stereoscopic X-Ray Camera and Images

Figure 49 - 3D Stereoscopic X-Ray Luggage Inspection Scheme

10. Business & Technological Opportunities and Challenges

Figure 50 - DHS S&T Explosives Division Functions

Figure 51 - TSA RDT&E Strategic Vision

Figure 52 - The 2D X-Ray Performance Criteria

Figure 53 - Remote Cargo Tele-Screening

Abstract

• Air cargo on scheduled passengers flights screening
• Airport-cabin baggage screening
• Secured facilities screening
• Postal items screening
• Supply chain cargo screening
• 1st responders bomb search
• Other x-ray explosives screening markets

• White House-mandated deployment of state-of-the-art X-ray systems at airports;
• $1.05 billion earmarked in the “2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act” for the purchase and installation of explosives detection technologies over the next 3 years;
• $1.57 billion of the TSA’s $8.03 billion FY2010 budget is intended for the purchase and installation of explosives detection systems (i.e., ETD, EDS, X-Ray systems);
• Failure to develop new, competitive modalities;

• Seven end-customer sub-markets
• Systems markets and post warranty system upgrade & service markets
• Present and future technologies (e. g., Multi-Pixel X-Ray sources, Fused modalities Multi- Thread systems , Dual-Energy X-Ray, coherent scatter X-Ray, Backscatter X-Ray, Variable view X-Ray)
• Business Opportunities by Threats & Vulnerabilities - (e.g., Fused technologies systems, Multi-Threat systems)
• Market Drivers & Inhibitors

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