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Drugs of Tomorrow 2001: Hepatitis - The Succession of New Generation Therapies

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Mar. 1, 2001 - 165 Pages


Table of Contents


TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Patient potential in hepatitis

Unmet needs in hepatitis

Investors in hepatitis

Class focus

Future market leaders

R&D opportunities in hepatitis

DISEASE OVERVIEW

Definition of disease

Hepatitis B

Hepatitis C

Patient potential

Hepatitis B

Hepatitis C

Classification of pipeline products

Interferons

Nucleoside analogues

Antisense oligonucleotides

Ribozymes

Immune response modifiers and therapeutic vaccines

Vaccines

Clinical endpoints in disease

Liver Histology

Viral clearance

Seroconversion

ALT levels

Unmet needs in hepatitis

Greater efficacy of treatment

Lack of vaccines for hepatitis C

Combination treatment to prevent resistance

Increased awareness

Shorter dosing period

Less expensive therapy

Orally administered products

Benefits for patients co-infected with HIV

Lack of second line treatment options

Improved safety profile

HEPATITIS PIPELINE ANALYSIS

Pipeline analysis by development strategy

Key drug discovery strategies in hepatitis

Key R&D protocol strategies in hepatitis

Key marketing strategies in hepatitis

Key licensing strategies in hepatitis

Pipeline analysis by class

Hepatitis B

Hepatitis C

Pipeline analysis by region

Hepatitis B

Hepatitis C

Pipeline analysis by company type

Hepatitis B

Hepatitis C

HBV DRUG ANALYSIS

Key

Vaccines

Hepacare (formerly Hepagene)

Advanced Engerix-B vaccine/SBAS4 adjuvant

Corixa's MPL adjuvant is a derivative of the lipid A molecule with potent immunostimulatory effect. Corixa extracts the MPL adjuvant from the cell walls of gram-negative bacteria. This Lipid A based product improves humoral as well as cellular immune responses through its ability to activate macrophages.

Nucleoside analogs

Preveon - Adefovir dipipvoxil (GS 840)

Coviracil (FTCB-301)

Entecavir (BMS 200475)

Famvir (famciclovir)

Therapeutic vaccines

HBV vaccine/MF59 adjuvant

Innovative early stage projects

EHT 899

Edible Potato vaccine

The Boyce Thompson Institute for Plant Research Inc. at Cornell University is developing an oral prophylactic vaccine. This will be delivered by eating genetically engineered potatoes that produce the vaccine in their flesh. The current hepatitis B vaccine is based on the HBsAg antigen, which is produced in yeast. The new product closely resembles the yeast vaccine but it would be cheaper and would not require injection or refrigeration, making distribution easier. However, a commercial partner is essential to the development of the project, following their partner, Axis Genetics Plc, going into administration
amid European fears about genetically engineered foods. Companies have the opportunity to negotiate a financial interest in this promising project and to capitalize on its future worldwide sales. The current hepatitis B vaccine generates profits of $1 billion a year and a plant-derived alternative could capture a significant share of this market

DNA Vaccine - PowderJect technology

XTL-001

XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd. is developing human monoclonal antibody therapies for hepatitis. XTL-001 is a product that has been shown to rapidly and consistently decrease HBV-DNA and HBsAg levels without inducing serious adverse events. A phase I trial of twelve chronic HBV infected patients that received multiple infusions of XTL-001 over four consecutive weeks has encouraged development to phase II therapeutic studies in combination with lamivudine.

MCC-478

Eli Lilly in-licensed MCC-478, a novel antiviral agent for the treatment of hepatitis B from Mitsubishi-Tokyo Pharmaceuticals in December 2000. Lilly purchased exclusive rights to develop and market this compound worldwide, excluding Japan. Phase I that the course of therapy for this nucleoside analog prodrug may be shorter human clinical trials suggest that MCC-478 has a potent and selective activity against HBV and than for current therapies.

HepBzyme

Recently discontinued projects

Lobucavir (BMS 10981194)

Theradigm

HCV DRUG ANALYSIS

Immune response modifiers

Maxamine

Maxim expects to conduct its phase III studies under a comprehensive development collaboration with Roche. The collaboration program will include two phase III trials of the Maxamine, Pegasys and Rebetol combination for the treatment of hepatitis C, one in naïve patients and one in patients who were non-responsive to prior therapy. The clinical development and approval of Maxamine in combination with Roche's Pegasys will drive the uptake of these products in competition to Schering-Plough's Peg-Intron in combination with Rebetol.

Macrokine (WF10)

Resiquimod (VML 600)

VX 497

Other pipeline products

IP 501

Retrovir (zidovudine)

Symmetrel (amantidine)

Monotherapy: Symmetrel

Combination therapy: Symmetrel + interferon

Combination therapy: Symmetrel + interferon + Rebetol

Endo Pharmaceuticals has a focus on pain management although its portfolio also includes branded products for coughs and colds. Success with Symmetrel would provide the company with significant opportunities which may be limited by their 100-strong field sales team.

Heptazyme (LY466700)

HCV Vaccine/MF59 adjuvant

Urso (ursodiol)

Marketing factors

Urso promises few advantages over current treatments and has little sales potential.

Hep C Hyperimmune

Innovative early stage projects

Levovirin

ISIS 14803

Tenovil (interleukin-10 )

Viramidine

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF HBV PIPELINE

Comparison of therapeutic drug classes

Efficacy

Dosing

Patient potential

Overall performance

Comparative analysis of nucleoside analogs

Comparison of efficacy of nucleoside analogs

Comparison of dosing schedules of nucleoside analogs

Comparison of patient potential of nucleoside analogs

Overall comparison of nucleoside analogs

Comparative analysis of prophylactic vaccines

Comparison of efficacy of prophylactic vaccines

Comparison of dosing schedules of prophylactic vaccines

Comparison of patient potential of prophylactic vaccines

Overall comparison of prophylactic vaccines

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF HCV PIPELINE

Comparison by class

Efficacy

Dosing

Patient group

Overall performance

Comparative analysis of the immune modifiers

Comparison of efficacy of the immune modifiers

Comparison of dosing schedules of immune modifiers

Comparison of patient potential of immune modifiers

Overall comparison of the immune modifiers

Comparative analysis of the other anti-HCV pipeline products

Comparison of efficacy of the other anti-HCV pipeline products

Comparison of dosing schedules of other anti-HCV pipeline products

Comparison of patient potential of other anti-HCV pipeline products

Overall comparison of other anti-HCV pipeline products

FUTURE FOCUS IN HEPATITIS

Future incidence and prevalence of hepatitis

Prospective anti-hepatitis drug launches

Launch forecast methodology

Forecast launches of hepatitis therapeutics, to 2008

Antibacterial Market Forecasts, (2001-2008)

Forecast methodology

Hepatitis Treatment Market Forecasts

Factors Influencing the Hepatitis Treatment Market (2001-2008)

Trends in the global hepatitis treatment market to 2008

Key R&D therapeutic product forecasts

Therapeutic pipeline product forecasts by class

Nucleoside analog product forecasts

Immune modifier product forecasts

Therapeutic vaccines product forecasts

Other anti-HCV product forecasts

Hepatitis B Vaccine Market Forecasts

Factors affecting the future hepatitis B vaccine market

Trends in the global hepatitis B vaccine market to 2008

Hepatitis B vaccine product forecasts

APPENDIX

Research programme methodology

SPRINT databases

Primary research

Quantification of data reliability

Forecasting methdology

The forecasting methodology is explained in the forecasting section of the

report.

LIST OF TABLES

LIST OF FIGURES

(c) Datamonitor 2000. All Rights Reserved.

Abstract

New growth in the hepatitis market will be driven by the increasing patient potential for hepatitis C and the development of combination therapy. This is due to chronic infections transmitted before blood transfusions were screened for the virus progressing to severe liver disease and the lack of efficacy of current therapy. Novel laboratory and animal models will uncover new targets for vaccine discovery efforts. Drugs of Tomorrow 2001: Hepatitis provides an in-depth analysis of hepatitis pipeline products and forecasts their performance to 2008. The report provides comprehensive coverage of all phase II and phase III treatments indicated for the prophylaxis and treatment of hepatitis B and hepatitis C. Also, the current and future commercial attractiveness of these drugs is assessed.

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