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Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.
Published: Aug. 1, 2011 - 305 Pages
Table of Contents- Introduction
- Company coverage
- Terms and definitions
- Luxury goods - a definition
- Market size - Mintel definition
- Market size at retail selling prices
- Exchange rates
- Figure 1: US dollar to euro exchange rates, 2005-10
- Technical notes
- Financial definitions
- Executive Summary
- The market
- Strong performance in 2010
- Possible faltering in later 2011
- Variable outlook
- Forecast
- Figure 2: Global luxury goods: Estimated market size at retail selling prices, 2007-13
- Market factors
- Potential problems
- Tipping point?
- HNWIs are key
- Market breakdown: where and what
- Asia to overtake Europe
- Prospects for the Americas
- Figure 3: Global luxury goods: Estimated market breakdown by region, 2009 (inner ring) and 2010 (outer ring)
- Bounce back for hard luxury
- Perfumes and cosmetics outpaced
- Soft luxury buoyant
- Figure 4: Global luxury goods: Estimated market breakdown by product category, 2009 (inner ring) and 2010 (outer ring)
- Companies, brands and innovation
- Market shares
- LVMH maintains a strong lead
- But Richemont a powerful number two
- Shiseido in third place
- Figure 5: Global luxury goods: Estimated market shares, 2010
- Market developments
- Focusing on boutiques
- Flagship openings
- Online investments
- What we think
- Issues in the Market
- After China, where’s next?
- Who is today’s luxury consumer?
- What’s driving digital?
- What new opportunities exist in the post-recession era?
- Broader Market Environment
- Key points
- An international market
- Discretionary purchases
- Recovery
- Western Europe
- US
- Japan
- China, India
- Russia
- Brazil
- Stock markets
- Figure 6: Major stock market performance to 5/7/2011
- Currencies
- Figure 7: Major exchange rate developments, 2002-11 (H1)
- Tourism
- Figure 8: International arrivals, 2000-10
- The growth in numbers of wealthy people
- Figure 9: Numbers of HNWIs, 2003-10
- Figure 10: World: High net worth individuals, 2006-10
- Figure 11: Growth in worldwide share of HNWIs, 2005-10
- Global Luxury Goods Market
- Market size
- Figure 12: Global luxury goods: Estimated market size by major player, 2006-10
- Market size at retail selling price
- Market shares
- Figure 13: Global luxury goods: Estimated market shares of major players, 2008-10
- Market size by region
- Figure 14: Global luxury goods: Estimated market size by region, 2006-10
- Channels of distribution
- Market size by channel
- Wholesale key to some sectors
- Licencing - an opportunity to diversify
- Retail is where it’s at
- Market Forecasts
- Uncertain global environment
- Economic growth will slow
- Luxury sales rebounded strongly in 2010
- 2011 off to a cracking start
- USA and Europe stronger than expected
- The shape of recovery
- Figure 15: Global luxury goods: Estimated market size at retail selling prices, 2007-13
- Key regions
- Europe
- Americas
- Japan
- Other Asia-Pacific
- Middle East
- Fashion and Leather Goods
- Market size
- Soft luxury proving dynamic
- Figure 16: Global luxury goods: Estimated luxury fashion & leather goods market, 2006-10
- Market shares
- Figure 17: Global luxury fashion & leather goods market: Estimated market shares of leading brands, 2006 & 2010
- Key developments
- Men - a major opportunity
- Diffusion lines hold their own
- Niche brands becoming lifestyle brands
- The role of the designer
- Changing value of luxury
- Celebrities and influences
- Fashion looks and trends
- Jewellery and Watches
- Market size
- Strong bounce back for hard luxury
- Figure 18: Global luxury goods: Estimated luxury jewellery and watches market, 2006-10
- Market shares
- Figure 19: Global luxury jewellery & watches market: Estimated market shares of leading brands, 2006 and 2010
- Key developments
- Continued rising prices
- Royal Wedding
- Value for money
- Increased in-house movement
- Demand from China
- Watch releases
- Perfumes and Cosmetics
- Market size
- Losing share of the luxury market
- Figure 20: Global luxury goods: Estimated luxury perfumes & cosmetics market, 2006-10
- Market shares
- Figure 21: Global luxury cosmetics & perfumes market: Estimated market shares of leading brands, 2006 and 2010
- Key developments
- Market recovers
- M&A activity muted
- Internet gains interest
- Key trends
- Skin care
- Colour cosmetics
- Fragrances
- What’s next:
- Regional and Country Analysis - Introduction
- Brazil
- Background
- Demographics
- Economy
- Consumer spending and retail sales
- Luxury goods market
- Figure 22: Brazil: Number of high net worth individuals, 2006-10
- Key developments
- Surging up the league tables
- Consumer trends look favourable
- Middle classes are key
- Taxes remain a barrier
- Consumers pushed abroad
- Strong domestic competition
- Market activity
- Retail development
- Brand presence
- Figure 23: Brazil luxury goods market: Presence of selected luxury brands, Summer 2011
- SWOT
- Strengths
- Weaknesses
- Opportunities
- Threats
- China
- Background
- One child policy could hamper economic growth
- China overtakes Japan in 2010
- And discretionary spending rises
- Worrying inflation trends
- Retail sales surge ahead
- Luxury goods market
- GDP per capita growing but still very low
- But the gap is less pronounced on retail sales per capita
- Fourth largest HNWI population in the world
- From billionaires
-
to the middle classes
- Figure 24: China: Number of high net worth individuals, 2006-10
- Key developments
- Another stellar performance drives up investor confidence
- Banned billboards to control spending
- Or economic protectionism?
- Luxury import taxes cause much debate
- The gender divide closes
- And affords matchmaking opportunities too
- SWOT
- Strengths
- Weaknesses
- Opportunities
- Threats
- Europe
- Background
- Scale
- Diversity
- Politics
- Luxury goods market
- High Net Worth individuals
- Figure 25: Europe: Number of high net worth individuals, 2005-10
- The East
- The West
- Trophies
- The recovery
- Online
- SWOT
- Strengths
- Weaknesses
- Opportunities
- Threats
- India
- Background
- Demographics
- Economy
- Consumer spending and retail sales
- Luxury goods market
- Figure 26: India: Number of high net worth individuals, 2006-10
- Key developments
- A culture ripe for luxury
- Purchasing priorities
- Space concerns
- Problematic partnerships
- FDI rules have proved a bar - up to now
- Domestic competition in luxury
- Brand presence
- Figure 27: India luxury goods market: Presence of selected luxury brands, Summer 2011
- SWOT
- Strengths
- Weaknesses
- Opportunities
- Threats
- Japan
- Background
- Surprise population rise
- Economic malaise
- Tragedy strikes
- Prolonged retail malaise
- Luxury goods market
- Figure 28: Japan: Number of high net worth individuals, 2007-10
- Key developments
- A large but mature market
- Changing habits
- Operating in a saturated market
- Looking to affluent neighbours
- SWOT
- Strengths
- Weaknesses
- Opportunities
- Threats
- Middle East
- Background
- Lebanon posts above average growth
- Saudi Arabia needs more quality space
- GDP per capita
- The Arab Spring
- Luxury goods market
- Less than 0.5 million HNWIs
- But growing faster than any other region
- Kuwait and Bahrain leap ahead
- Figure 29: Middle east: Number of high net worth individuals, 2006-10
- A younger and more male-focused cohort
- Figure 30: Middle east and Global average: high net worth individuals by age, 2010
- Figure 31: Middle east and Global average: high net worth individuals by gender, 2010
- Key developments
- Long tradition of luxury
- Activity starts to step up
- Better infrastructure and more established wealth than other emerging markets
- Focused centres of activity
- Dubai shows signs of recovery
- International tourist and shopping destination
- Capitalising on the Chinese tourist
- Beirut in the spotlight too
- Joint ventures
- SWOT
- Strengths
- Weaknesses
- Opportunities
- Threats
- Russia
- Background
- Recovery
- Elections coming up
- Falling population
- Growing affluent middle class
- Luxury goods market
- High net worth individuals
- Figure 32: Russia: Breakdown of population, by average monthly income per capita, 2004-09
- Figure 33: Russia: Number of high net worth individuals, 2005-10
- Market developments
- SWOT
- Strengths
- Weaknesses
- Opportunities
- Threats
- USA
- Background
- Population on the rise
- The recession
- Protracted recovery
- Can we really?
- The final days of the world’s largest superpower?
- Luxury goods markets
- Figure 34: US: Number of high net worth individuals, 2006-10
- Key developments
- Influence on the wane?
- The recovery
- Luxury tourism potential
-
could be being undermined
- SWOT
- Strengths
- Weaknesses
- Opportunities
- Threats
- Armani
- Figure 35: Armani: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 36: Armani Financial performance, 2006-10
- Figure 37: Armani: Sales by brand and by region, 2010
- Store portfolio
- Figure 38: Armani: Outlets, 2006-10
- Figure 39: Armani: Outlets by brand, 2008-10
- Brand offering
- Figure 40: Armani: Brands, 2011
- e-commerce
- Bulgari SpA
- Figure 41: Bulgari: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Strategic evaluation
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 42: Bulgari SpA: Financial performance, 2006-10
- Figure 43: Bulgari SpA: Sales growth rates by category, 2008-09, 2009-10, Q4 2010, Q1 2011
- Figure 44: Bulgari SpA: Contribution to revenue by category, 2006-10
- Figure 45: Swiss-watch certificates issued by the COSC, 2007-09
- Figure 46: Bulgari SpA: Net revenue growth for selected regions, 2008-Q1 2011
- Figure 47: Bulgari SpA: Net revenue by region, 2006-10
- Figure 48: Bulgari SpA: Growth rates in Chinese net revenues, 2009, 2010 and Q1 2011
- Figure 49: Bulgari SpA: Contribution to revenue by region, 2006-10
- Distribution
- Figure 50: Bulgari SpA: Outlet numbers, 2006-10
- Brand offering
- e-commerce
- Burberry
- Figure 51: Burberry: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Strategic evaluation
- Outlook
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 52: Burberry Group: Financial performance, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 53: Burberry Group: Revenue by channel, 2005/06, 2009/10 and 2010/11
- Figure 54: Burberry Group: Revenue by regional destination, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 55: Burberry Group: FY retail/wholesale revenue by region and % year-on-year growth on underlying basis, 2010/11
- Distribution
- Figure 56: Burberry retail division: Directly-operated outlet data, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 57: Burberry Group: Directly-operated and franchise outlets, by region, 2010/11
- Brand offering
- Market positioning/target audience
- Product offer
- Figure 58: Burberry Group: Retail/wholesale revenue by product category, 2009/10 and 2010/11
- Figure 59: Burberry Group: Product categories retail/wholesale revenue and % year-on-year growth on underlying basis, FY 2011
- Figure 60: Burberry Group: Product pyramid
- Advertising
- Ethical/Environmental issues
- e-commerce
- Christian Dior Couture
- Figure 61: Christian Dior couture: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Strategic evaluation
- Recent history
- Ownership
- Financial performance
- Figure 62: Christian Dior Couture: Financial performance, 2006-10
- Sales by business sector
- Figure 63: Christian Dior Couture: Total revenue, by business sector, 2006-10
- Retail revenues by region
- Figure 64: Christian Dior Couture: Retail revenue by geographic region, 2006-10
- Distribution
- Figure 65: Christian Dior Couture: Outlet numbers, 2006-10
- Figure 66: Christian Dior Couture: Store coverage by geographic region, 2010
- Brand offering
- Market positioning and values
- Product offer
- Marketing
- e-commerce
- Estée Lauder Companies
- Figure 67: Estée Lauder: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Recent history
- Strategic evaluation
- Financial performance
- Figure 68: Estée Lauder: Group financial performance, by region, 2005/06-2009/10
- By region
- Figure 69: Estée Lauder: Group sales by region, 2009/10
- By product area
- Figure 70: Estée Lauder: Group financial performance, by product area, 2005/06-2009/10
- Figure 71: Estée Lauder: Group sales by product category, 2009/10
- Distribution
- Figure 72: Estée Lauder, Net sales by distribution channel, 2004/05 and 2009/10
- Brand offering
- e-commerce
- Figure 73: Estée Lauder websites, 2011
- Gucci Group
- Figure 74: Gucci Group: share of global luxury goods market, 2006-2010
- Strategic evaluation
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 75: Gucci Group: Financial data, 2006-10
- Figure 76: Gucci Group: Share of group sales, by region, 2006 and 2010
- Figure 77: Gucci Group: Relative sales importance, by brand division, 2006 and 2010
- Figure 78: Gucci Group: Gucci division -turnover by product category and region, 2006-10
- Figure 79: Gucci Group: Bottega Veneta division -turnover by product and region, 2006-10
- Figure 80: Gucci Group: Yves Saint Laurent division -turnover by product and region, 2006-10
- Figure 81: Gucci Group: Other brands division -turnover by product and region, 2006-10
- Figure 82: Gucci group: Interim sales and profit, 2010 and 2011
- Distribution
- Figure 83: Gucci Group: Directly-operated stores, by brand, 2006-10
- Figure 84: Gucci Group: Directly-operated stores by brand and region, 2009 and 2010
- Brand offering
- Market positioning and brand essence
- Figure 85: Gucci Group: Brand essence and positioning, 2011
- Product offer
- Figure 86: Gucci Group: Breakdown of revenue, by major category, 2010
- Figure 87: Gucci Group: Main product categories, by brand, 2011
- Advertising and marketing
- e-commerce
- Figure 88: Gucci Group: Group websites, 2011
- Hermès International
- Figure 89: Hermès: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Strategic evaluation
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 90: Hermès: Financial performance, 2006-10
- Sales by region
- Figure 91: Hermès: Share of group sales by region, 2006 and 2010
- Sales by product category
- Figure 92: Hermès: Sales by major product category, 2006-10
- Distribution
- Figure 93: Hermès: Retail outlets, 2006-10
- Figure 94: Hermès: Stores by region, 2007-10
- Brand offering
- Market positioning
- Product offer
- Figure 95: Hermès: Product breakdown, 2010
- Marketing
- e-commerce
- L’Oréal (Luxury Division)
- Figure 96: L’Oréal luxury division: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Strategic evaluation
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 97: L’Oréal: Sales by division, 2009-10
- Figure 98: L’Oréal Luxury division: Financial performance, 2006-10
- Sales by region and product area
- Figure 99: L’Oréal Luxury division: Sales by region and product area, 2009 and 2010
- Figure 100: L’Oréal Luxury division: Sales breakdown by geographic region, 2005 and 2010
- Figure 101: L’Oréal Luxury division: Sales breakdown by product area, 2005 and 2010
- First half 2011 results
- Distribution
- Brand offering
- Market positioning
- Product offer and major lines
- Figure 102: L’Oréal: Luxury brands, product offer and major lines, 2011
- e-commerce
- Figure 103: L’Oréal luxury brands: E-commerce offer, July 2011
- LVMH Holding
- Figure 104: LVMH: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Strategic evaluation
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 105: LVMH: Group financial performance, 2006-10
- Figure 106: LVMH: Relative sales importance, by division, 2006 and 2010
- Figure 107: LVMH: Relative profit importance, by division, 2006 and 2010
- Sales by region: Rest of Asia drives growth
- Figure 108: LVMH: Group sales by region, 2010
- Regional sales by division
- Figure 109: LVMH: Fashion & leather goods division sales breakdown, by region, 2001, 2009 and 2010
- Figure 110: LVMH: Perfumes and cosmetics division sales, by region, 2001, 2009 and 2010
- Figure 111: LVMH: Watches and jewellery division sales, by region, 2001 and 2009
- Figure 112: LVMH: Sales growth by division and region, 2009-10
- Figure 113: LVMH: Performance by luxury brand, 2010
- Figure 114: LVMH: Sales by luxury division, interim period 2010 and 2011
- Distribution
- Figure 115: LVMH: Group outlet numbers, by region, 2006-10
- Figure 116: LVMH: Outlet data by luxury brand, 2010
- Brand offering
- Market positioning and brand essence
- Figure 117: LVMH: Brand positioning/essence, 2010/11
- Product offer
- Figure 118: LVMH: Main product categories by brand, 2010/11
- Innovation
- Marketing
- e-commerce
- Polo Ralph Lauren Corp
- Figure 119: Polo Ralph Lauren: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 120: Polo Ralph Lauren: Group Financial performance, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 121: Polo Ralph Lauren: Revenue contributions by segment, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 122: Polo Ralph Lauren: Turnover by region, 2006/07-10/11
- Figure 123: Polo Ralph Lauren: Total group turnover by region, 2008/09-2010/11
- Note: No continuous data prior to 2008/09 as Asia was not reported as a segment.
- Figure 124: Comparable store sales by fascia, 2009/10-2010/11
- Distribution
- Figure 125: Polo Ralph Lauren: Company-owned outlet numbers, 2008-11
- Figure 126: Polo Ralph Lauren: Retail outlets supplied, 2010-11
- Figure 127: Polo Ralph Lauren: % breakdown of outlet numbers supplied, 2010-11
- Figure 128: Polo Ralph Lauren: Owned retail outlets, by region, 2010-11
- Brand offering
- Figure 129: Polo Ralph Lauren: Brands and positioning, 2011
- Figure 130: Polo Ralph Lauren: Advertising expenditure, 2008/09-2010/11
- e-commerce
- Figure 131: Polo Ralph Lauren: Unique visitor and customer numbers, 2009/10-2010/11
- Prada
- Figure 132: Prada Holding NV: Group share of global luxury market, 2006-10
- Strategic evaluation
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 133: Prada Group: Financial data, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 134: Prada Group: Sales by region, 2009/10 and 2010/11
- Distribution
- Brand offering
- Product offer
- Figure 135: Prada Group and major brands: Sales by major product category, 2010/11
- Figure 136: Prada Group: Sales growth, by major product category, 2009/10 and 2010/11
- e-commerce and home shopping
- Richemont
- Figure 137: Richemont Group: Share of global luxury market, 2006-10
- Strategic evaluation
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 138: Richemont Group: Financial performance, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 139: Richemont Group: Sales performance, by region, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 140: Richemont Group: Contribution to total sales by region, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 141: Richemont Group: Financial performance by business segment, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 142: Richemont group: Sales by business segment, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 143: Richemont Group: Sales by product line, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 144: Richemont Group: Sales growth rates, by product category, 2009/10 and 2010/11
- Figure 145: Richemont Group: Turnover by product category, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 146: Richemont Group: Performance by brand, 2009/10-2010/11
- Distribution
- Figure 147: Richemont Group: Number of outlets, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 148: Richemont Group: Number of outlets, by brand, 2006/07-2010/11
- Distribution developments by brand
- Figure 149: Richemont Group: Distribution developments by brand 2009/10 and 2010/11
- Brand offering
- Figure 150: Richemont group: Brand positioning
- Figure 151: Richemont Group: Product developments, 2009/10 & 2010/11
- Advertising and marketing
- e-commerce
- Figure 152: Richemont Group: Brand websites, 2011
- Shiseido
- Figure 153: Shiseido: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Recent history
- Strategic evaluation
- Financial performance
- Figure 154: Shiseido: Financial performance, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 155: Shiseido: Sales by region, 2010/11
- Figure 156: Shiseido: Financial performance, by region, 2006/07-2010/11
- Distribution
- Brand offering
- e-commerce
- Swatch
- Figure 157: Swatch Group (Luxury): Estimated share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 158: Swatch Group: Financial data, 2006-H1 2011
- Figure 159: Swiss-watch certificates issued by the COSC, 2007-09
- Figure 160: Swatch Group: Estimated contribution to watch & jewellery sales by brand/segment, 2010
- Figure 161: Swatch Group: Turnover by region, 2006-10
- Figure 162: Swatch Group: Total group turnover, by region, 2006-10
- Distribution
- Figure 163: Swatch Group: Retail fascia, 2010
- Brand offering
- Figure 164: Swatch Group: Watch brands by segment, 2010
- e-commerce
- Figure 165: Swatch Group: Brand websites, 2011
- Tiffany & Co
- Figure 166: Tiffany & Co: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Strategic evaluation
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 167: Tiffany & Co: Financial performance, 2006/07-2010/11
- Figure 168: Tiffany & Co: Turnover by region, 2006/07-2010/11
- Distribution
- Figure 169: Tiffany & Co: Outlet data, 2006/07-2010/11
- Brand offering
- Market positioning/brand values
- Product offer
- Brands
- Price
- Advertising
- Home shopping and e-commerce
- Valentino Fashion Group
- Figure 170: Valentino: Share of global luxury goods market, 2006-10
- Recent history
- Financial performance
- Figure 171: Valentino Fashion Group: Financial performance, 2006/07-2010/11
- Distribution
- Figure 172: Valentino: Boutiques, 2010
- Figure 173: Valentino Fashion Group: Outlets, 2009
- Brand offering
- Figure 174: Valentino: Principal brands, 2010
- Figure 175: Hugo Boss: Principal brands, 2010
- e-commerce
- Appendix - Broader Market Environment
- Population
- Figure 176: Selected luxury goods markets: Total population, 2006-10
- Figure 177: Selected luxury goods markets: Population breakdown, by age group, 2010
- GDP
- Figure 178: Selected luxury goods markets: GDP (in current prices), 2001-10
- Figure 179: Selected luxury goods markets: GDP growth rates (in constant prices), 2001-10
- Consumer prices
- Figure 180: Selected luxury goods markets: Consumer prices, 2006-10
- Retail sales
- Figure 181: Selected luxury goods markets: Total retail sales, 2006-10
- High Net Worth individuals
- Figure 182: Selected luxury goods markets: HNWI numbers, 2006-10
- Figure 183: Selected luxury goods markets: HNWIs as a proportion of the total population, 2006-10
- Exchange rates
- Figure 184: Selected luxury goods markets: $ to currencies of markets in this report, 2006-10
- Figure 185: Selected luxury goods markets: to currencies of markets in this report, 2006-10
Abstract“We are on the cusp - in two respects. Longer term trends herald the usurpation by Asia of Europe as the largest luxury goods market by revenues. More immediately, and worryingly, financial crises in Europe and the US threaten a stalling of the global economic recovery and will certainly have dented the confidence of the luxury goods consumer.”
- John Mercer, European Retail Analyst
- After China, where’s next?
- Who is today’s luxury consumer?
- What’s driving digital?
- What new opportunities exist in the post-recession era?
During the course of our research we have come across a number of definitions of 'luxury goods', some of which were conflicting, however most were based upon the notion of 'luxury goods' as representing the top sector in any product market. For the purposes of this report we will follow this consensus definition.
However, we would also advise readers that it is helpful to consider the definition as referring to the special element of a luxury product that makes it desired for its own sake rather than any function that it may have.
With the development of the concept of 'accessible items' and the inherent 'aspirational' element in the notion of 'luxury', many luxury goods businesses have extended their reach to a broader audience of consumers, outside of their traditional target group (ie high net worth individuals). This makes a consistent definition of what constitutes a luxury good more difficult to establish. Therefore we believe that our relational definition, ie the 'top sector of any market', is the most useful.
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