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U.S. Youth and Young Adult Wireless Subscriber 2006-2010 Forecast: Still Powering Subscriber Growth

Published by: IDC

Published: Dec. 27, 2006 - 30 Pages


Table of Contents



Table of Contents

IDC Opinion

In This Study

Methodology

Situation Overview

New Parent-Child Communications Paradigm

Impacts Range from School Policy to Custody Arrangements

Mobile's Appeal to Parents

Constant Family Connectivity

Safety

Convenience

Connecting Fragmented Families Through Wireless "Virtual Visitation"

A New Antibullying Tool

Devices

Wireless Content

Encouraging Educational Content ? and Then Tying It to Loyalty

Content Ratings

Content Organization

Spending and Access Controls by Age Group

Free and Subscription-Based Content

Disney Mobile as a Key Leader

Disney's Family-Centered Focus

Mobile Allowances as Motivators

Child-Friendly Content

Keeping Children Current with Peer Groups

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the U.S. 5- to 24-Year-Old Wireless Subscriber Market, 2006-2010

5- to 9-Year-Old Subscriber and Revenue Forecast

Table: U.S. 5- to 9-Year-Old Wireless Subscribers, 2005-2010

Table: U.S. 5- to 9-Year-Old Wireless ARPU and Service Revenue by Segment, 2005-2010

10- to 14-Year-Old Subscriber and Revenue Forecast

Table: U.S. 10- to 14-Year-Old Wireless Subscribers, 2005-2010

Table: U.S. 10- to 14-Year-Old Wireless ARPU and Service Revenue by Segment, 2005-2010

15- to 19-Year-Old Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

Table: U.S. 15- to 19-Year-Old Wireless Subscribers, 2005-2010

Table: U.S. 15- to 19-Year-Old Wireless ARPU and Service Revenue by Segment, 2005-2010

20- to 24-Year-Old Subscriber and Revenue Forecast

Table: U.S. 20- to 24-Year-Old Wireless Subscribers, 2005-2010

Table: U.S. 20- to 24-Year-Old Wireless ARPU and Service Revenue by Segment, 2005-2010

Total Youth and Young Adult Wireless Subscriber and Revenue Forecasts

Table: U.S. 5- to 24-Year-Old Wireless Subscribers, 2005-2010

Table: U.S. 5- to 24-Year-Old Wireless Annual Subscriber Revenue by Segment, 2005-2010 ($M)

Figure: U.S. 5- to 24-Year-Old Wireless Subscriber Share by Age Group, 2005 and 2010

Figure: U.S. 5- to 24-Year-Old Annual Wireless Revenue Share by Age Group, 2005 and 2010

Market Context

Table: U.S. 5- to 24-Year-Old Wireless Subscribers, 2005-2010: Comparison of 2005 and 2006 Forecasts (000)

Figure: U.S. 5- to 24-Year-Old Wireless Subscribers, 2005?2010: Comparison of 2005 and 2006 Forecasts

Essential Guidance

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Related Research

Synopsis

Abstract

This IDC study analyzes the U.S. youth and young adult mobile subscriber market, which is generally considered to be wireless users aged 5?24 years old. The youth and young adult market will continue to a key driver of U.S. subscriber growth and is projected to add over 23 million new users from 2005 to 2010. Youth and young adults are a key early adopter segment for mobile data services, and there are indications that 15- to 19-year-olds are now using more data services than 20- to 24-year-olds. In addition, the common age threshold for mobile device adoption now appears to be 11 years old, concurrent with the start of middle school.

"The idea of 5-year-olds wearing mobile devices a few years from now is about as unthinkable today as the notion of 11-year-olds getting cell phones as standard back-to-school supplies was just two to three years ago," notes Scott Ellison, vice president of Wireless and Mobile Communications. "IDC predicts that if a child can dial a phone, that child will probably have his or her own mobile phone by the start of the next decade," he added.



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