Caribbean Tourism

We revised our short-term GDP growth forecast to 1.5% in 2025 due to lower growth expectations in the US post-liberation day tariffs. Nonetheless, the medium-term outlook remains positive, as we believe this won't permanently affect growth. ...

Destination Market Insight: Caribbean Region (2025) Summary Analysis of destination markets, infrastructure, and attractions, as well as risks and opportunities in the Caribbean. This report explores the types of travelers that visit the region as well as a SWOT analysis. Scope This report is part o ...

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Bahamas, The We expect real GDP growth for the Bahamas will cool to 1.7% in 2025 from 2.1% this year. This fall in growth reflects the convergence of the economy towards its medium-term potential. Consistent with this view, we forecast inflation will settle at 2% ...

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Anguilla We have marginally revised up our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Anguilla by 0.1ppt to 4.7% y/y. Tourism continues to drive growth, alongside the exponential increase in demand for the country's domain name '.ai' and the anticipated gradual imp ...

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Antigua and Barbuda We have cut our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Antigua and Barbuda by 1.4ppts to 2.8% y/y. We think the momentum from the post-pandemic recovery in tourism numbers will subside and growth levels will be closer to the economy's long-run poten ...

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Grenada We have cut our 2025 growth forecast for Grenada by 0.4ppts to 3.7%. We think this summer's Hurricane Beryl, which wrecked infrastructure and housing in the northern islands of Carriacou and Petit Martinique, will leave a lasting mark on the supply si ...

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Guadeloupe We have revised up our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Guadeloupe by 1.7ppts to 2.7%, as growth in tourism continues to drive exports. Although inflation is expected to decline to 1.7% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026, we don't anticipate a strong recovery in ...

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Puerto Rico We lowered our 2025 GDP growth forecast by 0.2ppts to 1.2%. Federal funds from disaster-relief programs and pandemic stimulus that buoyed infrastructure projects and private consumption will continue to fade. Still, resilient demand from mainland ...

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Dominica We have doubled our 2024 GDP forecast for Dominica to 4.2% and expect robust growth of 3.1% next year. Our forecast reflects strong near-term prospects due a major recovery in tourism, high public investment, and strong Citizenship-by-Investment revenues ...

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Cuba We cut Cuba’s 2025 GDP growth forecast by 1.6ppts to 1.9%, following an estimated 0.9% contraction this year. Disruptions at the country’s largest thermoelectric plant and reduced fuel shipments from Russia and Venezuela caused widespread blackouts, while ...

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - St. Vincent and the Grenadines We trimmed our GDP growth forecast for St Vincent and the Grenadines by 0.4ppts to 4.5% y/y for 2024 and 0.3ppts to 2.9%y/y for 2025 because of damage caused by Category 5 Hurricane Beryl in July. The impact of Beryl this year is li ...

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Cayman Islands Historical data revisions and a significantly stronger-than-expected demographic outlook led us to raise our short- and medium-term forecasts for the Cayman Islands. We now expect GDP will grow by 1.9% next year before slowing down to 1.6% in 2026. ...

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Virgin Islands (UK) We forecast the British Virgin Islands' economy will grow by 1.2% in 2024 and 1.6% in 2025. We've revised up our 2025 GDP forecast to reflect stronger-than-anticipated growth in the tourism sector, partly driven by the robust US econom ...

Economy of English Speaking Caribbean - 2024 The Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Jamaica and Trinidad & Tobago are considered together in this study. The microstates of the region are not included. Issues discussed are internal budgets, external accounts, economic policies and, in some cases, levels of v ...

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Aruba We have upgraded our 2024 GDP forecast for Aruba by 0.8ppts to 2.2% y/y growth. This adjustment is driven by the resilience of the US economy, which accounts for over 80% of Aruba's overseas visitors, thereby boosting tourism activity. Arrivals are ...

Tourism Desintation Market Insight - Caribbean (2024) Summary Analysis of destination markets, infrastructure, and attractions, as well as risks and opportunities in the Caribbean. This report explores the types of travelers that visit the region as well as a SWOT analysis. Key Highlights Prior to C ...

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Barbados We think the Barbados economy will expand by 4.8% this year, following 9.1% growth in 2022. GDP will likely return to its pre-pandemic level by Q4 2023, driven by a solid but slow tourism recovery. We forecast tourist arrivals will grow by 27% in 2023 ...

Caribbean Destination Tourism Insight Report including International Arrivals, Domestic Trips, Key Source / Origin Markets, Trends, Tourist Profiles, Spend Analysis, Key Infrastructure Projects and Attractions, Risks and Future Opportunities, 2023 Update Summary Analysis of destination markets, infr ...

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Bahamas The Bahamas continues to rebound from the coronavirus pandemic with strong growth of 7.7% expected for 2022. Our forecast reflects a recovery in tourism and foreign direct investment, as well as a 33% jump in exports this year. Unemployment continues t ...

Havana - Comprehensive Overview of the City, PEST Analysis and Analysis of Key Industries including Technology, Tourism and Hospitality, Construction and Retail Summary “City Profile - Havana” provides historical and forecast data on key city level metrics along with analytical coverage of the lates ...

Caribbean Tourism Destination Market Insight, 2022 Update Summary Analysis of destination markets, infrastructure, and attractions, as well as risks and opportunities in the Caribbean. This report explores the types of travelers that visit the region as well as a SWOT analysis. Key Highlights In 202 ...

Cuba Tourism and Hotel Market - Growth, Trends, Covid-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2022 - 2027) Tourism has been an integral part of Cuba’s economy and with its year-on-year growth in the number of visitors, tourism and hotel markets have been on a growth track over the years. Cuba has been attracting ...