Weekly Economic Briefings - Us Weekly Economic Briefing
Data released over the holiday-shortened week highlights the disparity between generally favorable conditions for consumer spending while business activity struggles in the face of persistent external and trade policy-related headwinds. We believe a soft landing is likely, but forecast sub-potential GDP growth of around 1.7% in 2020. The US and China look to be on track to reach a phase one trade deal, but this would be just the first step in resolving long-standing trade issues. Therefore, the trade war is here to stay. Meanwhile, the US assassination of a key Iranian commander represents a significant spike in geopolitical risks and could lead to a direct confrontation between the US and Iran.
- The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the US Weekly Economic Briefing.
- The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- US Weekly Economic Briefings
- Highlights: Briefing on events-driven analysis for the week, which varies depending upon data.
- Credit Crunch Watch:
- Financial Stress and Monetary Conditions Indicators, along with discussion of their latest movements. Brief discussion of latest trends in the US and Eurozone economies.
- Detailed charts of the components of the Financial Stress and Monetary Conditions Indicators.
- Credit Crunch Timeline: Summary of major economic events since the beginning of the financial crisis.
- Latest Data in Detail: Charts and analysis on the important releases of the previous week, such as: inflation indicators, consumer confidence, retail sales, durable goods orders etc.
- The Week Ahead: Scheduled key data releases for the upcoming week, including information on previous data and forecast data.
- Key Economic Indicators: The previous year’s monthly data for a number of key macroeconomic indicators, including the unemployment rate, output, retail sales, inflation, and trade balance.
- Key Financial Indicators: The previous year’s monthly data for a number of key financial indicators including: Short and long term interest rates, key exchange rates, money supply, S&P 500, and reserves.