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Weekly Economic Briefings > Us Weekly Economic Briefing

Weekly Economic Briefings - Us Weekly Economic Briefing

The plunge in the ISM manufacturing survey along with Apple’s sales warning stoked concerns that cracks are now appearing in the macro foundations. Though turmoil and intense risk-off trading in financial markets have increased downside risks to the economy, the underlying fundamentals supporting the economy remain solid – as illustrated by the stellar December jobs report. The economy and the Fed both sent reassuring signals to markets Friday. Following a bumpy week, investors took comfort from the strong jobs numbers, which confirmed that the economy ended 2018 on solid footing, and from Powell’s dovish comments, which emphasized a patient and flexible policy approach in response to the more volatile market and political environment. Barring further tightening in financial conditions that would negatively impact economic activity, the very strong labor market picture support our expectation that the Fed will keep a tightening bias in 2019. However, we look for the Fed to pause until May 1, when we expect the first of two total rate hikes this year.

The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the US Weekly Economic Briefing.
The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
US Weekly Economic Briefings
Highlights: Briefing on events-driven analysis for the week, which varies depending upon data.
Credit Crunch Watch:
Financial Stress and Monetary Conditions Indicators, along with discussion of their latest movements.
Brief discussion of latest trends in the US and Eurozone economies.
Detailed charts of the components of the Financial Stress and Monetary Conditions Indicators.
Credit Crunch Timeline: Summary of major economic events since the beginning of the financial crisis.
Latest Data in Detail: Charts and analysis on the important releases of the previous week, such as: inflation indicators, consumer confidence, retail sales, durable goods orders etc.
The Week Ahead: Scheduled key data releases for the upcoming week, including information on previous data and forecast data.
Key Economic Indicators:
The previous year’s monthly data for a number of key macroeconomic indicators, including the unemployment rate, output, retail sales, inflation, and trade balance.
Key Financial Indicators:
The previous year’s monthly data for a number of key financial indicators including:
Short and long term interest rates, key exchange rates, money supply, S&P 500, and reserves.

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