Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania

We've lowered our 2023 GDP growth forecast for Romania by 0.1ppt to 2.5%, because we think the risk of tighter financial and credit conditions caused by external banking sector strains may weigh on activity at the end of this year. But we expect growth to pick up again next year as cooling inflation helps real incomes and consumption to rebound. So, we forecast GDP growth of 3.5% in 2024.

Romania: Underlying pressures to slow the fall in headline CPI
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our Short-term Forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
risk warnings.
What to watch out for
Exposure to Key global risks
Long-term prospects
Economic development
Structure of the economy
balance of payments and Structure of trade
Politics and policy

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