Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Montenegro

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Montenegro

Russia's invasion of Ukraine poses downside risks through the indirect effect on Montenegro and the other Western Balkan nations, given their closely interlinked economies. Supply chain issues and inflationary pressures – which had already been exacerbated by the Covid pandemic – will weigh on the economy. As a result, we have downgraded our 2022 GDP growth forecast by 2.4ppts, from 6.3% to 3.9%, while we expect 4.3% growth in 2023.