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IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Next-Generation Automotive 2020 Predictions

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Next-Generation Automotive 2020 Predictions

This IDC study provides our top 10 predictions for the worldwide next-generation automotive market. These predictions reflect IDC's vision for the 10 most important trends in this market over the next 60 months (through 2025). Technology buyers from automotive manufacturers, tiered suppliers, wireless network operators, and fleet and road operators should use this IDC FutureScape to help inform their purchasing decisions over the next three to five years.According to Matt Arcaro, research manager, Next Generation Automotive research at IDC, "In 2019, the pace of change in the automotive ecosystem only seemed to accelerate. As the industry looks to adopt more and more horizontal IT technologies and platforms with the goal of bringing autonomy and electrification to market sooner, the opportunities for supplier and manufacturer disruption and disintermediation have increased."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC FutureScape Figure
Executive Summary
IDC FutureScape Predictions
Summary of External Drivers
Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
Prediction 1: By 2021, 50% of Automotive OEMs Will Enable Mobile Edge Computing in New Vehicles as Part of Their Connected Vehicle Platform to Support Enhanced Applications, Services, and Operational Efficiency
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 2: By 2021, 70% of OEMs Will Expand the Reach of Their Data Management and Monetization Partnerships to Open New Business Opportunities and Reduce the Impact of External Data Market Pressures
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 3: By 2022, 75% of OEMs Will Employ Cross-Industry Digital Innovation Platforms to Aid Product Development, Supplier Collaboration, and Simplify Big Data Strategies, Resulting in a 10% Opex Improvement
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 4: By 2022, over 70% of Automotive OEMs Will Integrate Technologies Such as AI and IoT in New Vehicle Models to More Seamlessly Integrate Automation Systems and In-Vehicle Infotainment
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 5: By 2022, the Cost of Independently Developing Complex AV Systems Will Drive over 50% of OEMs to Acquire and/or Partner with Autonomous Vehicle Platform Providers to Reach Market
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 6: Due to the Need to Personalize and Enhance the Customer Experience, by 2023, 65% of Automotive OEMs Will Design Using Real-Time Data, Increasing Revenue by 40% and Reducing Recalls by 25%
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 7: By 2023, 60% of OEMs Will Begin Voluntarily Manufacturing V2X-Capable Vehicles Driven by the Cost, Technology, and Ecosystem Maturation of C-V2X and DSRC and Increased Regulatory Clarity
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 8: By 2024, G8 Countries Will Mandate That SAE Level 4– and Level 5–Capable AVs Include a Human-Operated Backup Mode for Added Safety
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 9: By 2025, 60% of Global OEMs Will Partner with Utilities to Aid EV Battery Development, Energy Storage, Distribution, and Charging, Driving a 5% Further Increase to Expected Global EV Sales
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 10: By 2025, 10% of Levels 2 and 3 Autonomous Vehicles Will Incorporate Enhanced Heads-Up Displays to Improve Driver Safety, Awareness, and Productivity by 20%
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Advice for Technology Buyers
External Drivers: Detail
The Age of Innovation: Driving the Future Enterprise
Crisis of Digital Trust: Escalating Threats Mandate Strategic Responses
Economies of Intelligence: AI, Human, and Organizational "Learning" Fuels Asymmetrical Advantage
Intelligence Everywhere: AI's Opportunity and Implications
Rising Customer Expectations: More Convenience, Customization, and Control
Sense, Compute, Act: Maximizing Data Value
The Platform Economy: Competing at Hyperscale
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