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United Kingdom Freight Transport Report 2016

United Kingdom Freight Transport Report 2016

Growth in the freight industry will be fuelled by positive growth in the air and rail sectors while the roadsector will suffer some negative growth for a number of years. Investment in infrastructure will help tosupport the industry while a modest recovery in the eurozone and strong domestic demand in the UK mayalso help to boost trade figures. A number of factors are limiting growth in the short term, with congestionand over-capacity fuelling the need for rapid improvement of infrastructure. At the same time disruptioncaused by ongoing improvements such as the Forth Road Bridge and congestion caused by border securityissues will cause some disruption in the short term for freight companies.

Trade Growth Looks Strong

Rail and air sectors will experience stronger growth than the roads. Although the general trade outlook ispositive, with growth in imports and exports looking strong at 11.99% and 12.32%, respectively, in 2016,some specific industry sectors are causing concern. The recent crisis in the steel industry has highlighted thenegative impact of green taxes and competition from China on the heavy industries sector. Investmentacross the transport infrastructure will help to expand the capacity of the UK's freight industry and improveefficiencies. Decisions on a number of large projects under discussion such as the third runway for Londonand the H2 rail link will restore some confidence in the UK's capacity to increase its freight services in linewith growth in demand fuelled by economic recovery both at home and abroad.

BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (United Kingdom 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (United Kingdom 2013-2019)
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (United Kingdom 2013-2020)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (United Kingdom 2013-2020)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (United Kingdom 2013-2020)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Virgin Atlantic Cargo (VAC)
BA World Cargo
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Table: UK - Political Overview Table
Long-Term Political Outlook
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: UK - Baseline Scenario
Table: UK - Risk Scenario: Interest Rate Shock
Table: UK - Stress Scenario: Global Growth Shock
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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