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Ukraine Freight Transport Report 2016

Ukraine Freight Transport Report 2016

Following an extremely difficult 2015, it is hoped that Ukraine will see some improvement in 2016although the conflict in the east will continue to hamper growth and affect trade with Russia. It is expectedthat trade will start to pick up in 2016 and with it, the freight industry. The agricultural sector will play alarge role in stimulating the country's economy, though some dry weather conditions may affect harvests in2016. Meanwhile, the IMF will continue to support Ukraine's economy, offering further lending in the lightof its debt to Russia. Ukraine's relations with the EU will also help to encourage trade and put the countryon the road to recovery. .

Real export volumes are forecast to increase by 5% in 2016, compared to a fall of 20% in 2015. We expectthis growth to lose strength in 2017, falling to 1% but by 2020 it will have recovered to 6.9%. Imports willsee a more stable future, rising by 11.4% in 2016 and maintaining growth at 5.07% by 2020. The country'scentral bank announced in 2015 that it will extend its currency controls into 2016 so as to stabilize thehryvnia, though these controls may be removed in 2016 if the economic situation picks up.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Ukraine 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Ukraine 2013-2019)
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Ukraine 2013-2020)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Ukraine 2013-2020)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Ukraine 2013-2020)
Market Overview
Company Profile
UIA Cargo
Ukrzaliznytsia (Cargo)
HPC Ukraina
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Regional Political Outlook
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Ukraine - Political Overview Table
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Ukraine 2012-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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