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Taiwan Freight Transport Report Q3 2015


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Taiwan Freight Transport Report Q3 2015

BMI View: Over 2015, the outperforming freight mode in terms of year-on-year (y-o-y) tonnage growth isset to be the air freight sector with annual gains of 4.08% pencilled in for the year. The other modes are setto struggle to top 1% y-o-y growth this year, but this will still represent an improvement year-on-year forboth road and rail. Growth in Q1 2015 was fuelled by both export and private consumption growth, whichlargely outweighed the collapse in both government consumption and gross fixed capital formation, provingpositive for the country's freight modes.

Taiwan's Q1 2015 real GDP grew by 3.5% year-on-year (y-o-y), picking up slightly from 3.3% in Q4 2014.

We maintain our real GDP growth forecast of 3.5% for 2015 amid a fairly positive domestic outlook, butnote that a challenging external environment will continue to present headwinds to Taiwanese exports overthe short term. We do caution, however, that any resumption in cross-strait political tensions is likely tohave rapid and negative consequences for the Taiwanese freight mix.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Company Profile
China Airlines Cargo (CAC)
EVA Air Cargo
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Table: Taiwan Political Overview
Long-Term Political Outlook
Oil Price Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2019-2024 ( Global 2019-2024)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Taiwan 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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