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Taiwan Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Taiwan Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Taiwan's freight transport sector will continue to be affected by the slowdown in the Chinese economy in 2016.

Taiwanese exports will feel the headwinds from China as well as the relative strength of the TWD compared to the KRW.

Air freight will continue its growth on a more moderate level over the short term, before picking up slightly in 2017/2018, while road and rail will both grow at a faster rate over the medium term.

Taiwan's economy contracted by 1.0% in Q315 compared to the 0.5% expansion registered in the previous quarter.

Ongoing weakness in the Chinese economy amid increasing uncertainty in the domestic political situation will continue to weight on Taiwan's economic growth.

As such, we have downgraded our 2015 and 2016 real GDP forecasts to 1.0% and 1.9% respectively.

GDP growth for 2016 was previously forecast at 2.5%.

BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
China Airlines Cargo (CAC)
EVA Air Cargo
Political Outlook
Short-Term Political Outlook
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Taiwan Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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