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Peru Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2017

BMI View: Due to major infrastructure delays and extensive flooding weighing heavily on H1 economicactivity in Peru in 2017, as well as lower commodities demand from China, road and rail freight will seecontractions in growth over the short term, although we expect a rebound to occur at least in terms of theformer in 2018. Rail will struggle owing to its reliance on the mining sector; copper prices remain subduedby historical standards and operational challenges facing miners, such as flooding and strikes, posetemporary disruptions to output.

Key Updates And Forecasts

In terms of the domestic picture, growth in Peru will accelerate rapidly in the coming quarters, with realgrowth in 2018 expected to bounce back from a sluggish 2017 - good news for freighters as consumersbegin to enjoy deeper pockets. While major infrastructure delays and rampant flooding weighed heavilyon H1 economic activity, we expect government stimulus efforts to drive a recovery in H2. Industrialactivity, particularly manufacturing, will contribute to growth acceleration, along with higher privateconsumption and continued mining strength. We maintain our view for 2.8% and 4.3% real GDP growthin 2017 and 2018 respectively, from 3.9% in 2016.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Peru 2014-2021)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Peru 2014-2021)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Peru 2014-2021)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Peru 2014-2021)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Peru 2014-2021)
Shipping Forecast
Shipping
Table: Major Ports Data (Peru 2014-2021)
Market Overview
Company Profile
FCCA
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Peru 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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