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Peru Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Peru Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Peru's freight sector will continue to have mixed growth rates in 2016, with a contraction in railfreight volumes of 2.48%, slowing growth in road freight at 1.05%, and the strongest growth in air freightat 2.75%. Rail freight has been affected by low exports of copper and generally subdued metals prices,while road freight growth will improve on 2015 estimates due to moderate growth in trade activity andconstruction sector growth. Rising private consumption leading to stronger demand for consumerelectronics will benefit the air freight sector the most, hence the strongest growth forecast for this transportmode.

The economy in Peru is steadily improving and we forecast GDP growth at 3.8% for 2016, up from 2.2%estimated for 2015. August and September 2015 have however seen below expectations growth rates inGDP. The moderate growth is largely due to a slowdown in Peru's mining fuelled economy as mineralprices have been weaker. Rising copper production from new mines has on the other hand helped underpinofficial forecasts for a recovery, and economic growth has increased mainly because of mining. 2015 hasseen a recovery in fishing, manufacturing and mining sectors, which will help the economy in the comingyear and over the medium term. Unemployment has also been at its lowest of the year in the last twomonths. Going forward, Chinese investments in Peru will benefit the economy as the country seeks toaccelerate their developments particularly through building major infrastructure projects, positivelyimpacting the freight sector.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Peru 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Peru 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Peru 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Peru 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Peru 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Ferrocarril Central Andino
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Table: Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Peru - Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: Peru - Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: Peru - Fixed Investment Forecasts
Table: Peru - Net Exports Forecast
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Peru 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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