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Netherlands Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Netherlands Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We expect continued growth for the Dutch freight industry in 2016 and over the medium term.

Private consumption will be a key for economic growth amidst falling gas exports, supporting importgrowth and thereby having a positive impact on all freight modes in the country. Rail freight will continueto have the strongest growth over the medium term, also increasing its market share as the sector willbenefit from the investments into European transport infrastructure and the removal of the sugar quota in2017. Both road and rail will benefit from growing domestic consumption, economic growth in main tradepartner Germany and strong fuel demand across Europe.

Although real GDP slowed markedly in Q215 - to 1.6% y-o-y, down from 2.5% in Q115 - we still maintainthat the Dutch consumer story remains robust. Private consumption expanded by a robust 1.7% y-o-y inQ215, broadly on a par with the 1.8% y-o-y growth in Q115, and the accompanying ramp-up in importgrowth in Q215 reduced the headline growth figure. Private consumption will remain a key contributor togrowth in the coming quarters, as households benefit from low inflation, rising house prices and atightening labour market. As a result, real GDP growth should accelerate in H215, prompting us to reviseslightly upwards our forecast to to 1.9% in 2016 (up from 1.8%).

BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Netherlands 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Netherlands 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Netherlands 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Netherlands 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Netherlands 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Air France-KLM Cargo
Geodis Wilson
DB Schenker Rail Netherlands
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Table: Political Overview Table
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Netherlands 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Netherlands 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Netherlands 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Netherlands 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Netherlands 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Netherlands 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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