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Namibia Power Report Q2 2016

Namibia Power Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Namibia will not be producing enough electricity to cover demand during our forecast periodas political and pricing issues cause delays to new thermal capacity coming online. The delays will result inthe renewable power sector experiencing an increase in activity, as is evidenced by new solar and windpower investments.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

Namibia has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with French firm, InnoSun, for a plannedconstruction of a wind farm near Lüderitz in the Tsau//Khaeb national park. The wind farm will havecapacity of at least 150MW up to 500MW.

The 35MW tender for a solar power plant in Mariental has been scrapped by the Namibian High Courtafter it found irregularities in the tender process.

We have revised our hydropower generation forecasts to 2.2TWh, down from 2.4TWh, to account forreduced rainfall as well as no new capacity forecast to come online within our forecast period

Due to a lack of other forms of generation coming online, our forecasts have been adjusted, withhydropower expected to remain Namibia's primary source of power, with over 80% share of totalgeneration throughout our forecast period

Construction of the Xaris Energy Gas-fired power plant in Erongo will reportedly start as soon as thepower purchase agreement (PPA) is finalised with NamPower

We have revised our total thermal generation forecasts since last quarter, with a reduction from 1TWh tojust under 0.4TWh, as we currently only factor in some oil-fired generation and the 120MW Van Eckcoal power plant.

The Namibian Mines and Energy minister has stated that Namibia will not experience any load sheddingin 2016, stating that the country has secured 300MW off-peak supply from Eskom in South Africa, withother small-scale solar and wind power projects reportedly planned to cover the rest of the deficit ingeneration.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Namibia 2015 - 2021)
Latest Updates And Structural Trends
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Namibia Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Namibia 2015-2020)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Namibia 2020-2025)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Namibia Power Forecast Scenario
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2014 - 2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2020 - 2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2014 - 2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2020 - 2025)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2014 - 2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2020 - 2025)
Transmission & Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2020-2025)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2014-2019)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index
Table: SSA Power RRI (Scores Out Of 100)
Namibia Power Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Pricing
SSA Key Policies/Market Structure
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape
Regional Overview
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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