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Myanmar Power Report Q2 2016

Myanmar Power Report Q2 2016

BMI View: The Myanmar power sector is set to grow impressively over the coming decade and will be oneof the fastest growing markets in the region. We also expect the country's energy mix to change over thedecade and this change will create numerous opportunities.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

We forecast electricity generation in Myanmar to grow by 12.1% in 2016, a significant pick-up fromwhat we estimate to have been a 6.9% expansion in 2015. We believe growth in 2016 will continue to beprimarily driven by hydropower and gas-fired generation, similar to 2015. Myanmar's power sector willbe one of the fastest growing in Asia over the coming decade. We have retained our long-term bullishforecast on electricity generation, with growth set to average 8.0% per annum between 2016-2025. Thisis significantly higher than the regional average of about 5.2%.

In June 2015, Japanese firm Marubeni Corporation announced it had entered into a memorandum ofunderstanding with Myanmar's electric power ministry to conduct a feasibility study for a 400MW gasfiredpower generation facility in Yangon Region, Myanmar. Marubeni will carry out the study in aconsortium with Thai firm Global Power Synergy and Eden Group. The project is part of Myanmar'sefforts to boost power generation capacity to meet rapidly growing demand. The facility is beingdeveloped by a team of Japanese and Myanmar-based firms, including Marubeni. The plant is estimatedto cost about JPY40bn (USD325mn), reports NIKKEI Asian Review. Construction is expected to beginin 2016 and the facility is scheduled to be commissioned in 2019.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Myanmar 2015-2021)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Myanmar Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Myanmar 2019-2024)
Myanmar Power Forecast Scenario
Table: Fact Box: Cancelled Hydropower Projects in Myanmar
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2019-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2019-2025)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2019-2025)
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2019-2025)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2014-2019)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2019-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100)
Myanmar Power Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
Pricing
Myanmar Power Projects Database
Table: Myanmar - 10 Largest Power Projects By Capacity
Competitive Landscape
APR Energy
ACO Investment Group
Regional Overview
Table: China Power Snapshot
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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