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Japan Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

Japan Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Japan's trade will enjoy positive real and nominal growth in 2016 and 2017, despite the poor outlook for the economy as a whole. Regional trade talks will encourage further trade growth, and this will lead to a boost for the country's freight transport sector. Aside from the port of Tokyo, we expect rail freight to outperform. Despite a recession forecast in 2016, we expect that volumes in Japanese road freight will see a third consecutive year of positive - albeit almost flat growth - following the two years of declines in 2012 and 2013. Growth will remain flat over the remainder of our forecast period, thanks to weak industrial production and low consumer confidence. The rail freight sector is set to be the outperforming mode in Japan in 2016, as well as over the medium term with y-o-y tonnage gains projected to come in at 3.30% over the next 12 months. Rail freight will undoubtedly benefit longer term from the Hokkaido Shinkansen rail extension development, which runs from Aomori through the Seikan tunnel to Hakodate and will open in March 2016. By the end of our current forecast period in 2019, we anticipate the rail freight network will be carrying 54mn tonnes, compared to 49mn tonnes in 2016.


BMI Industry View
Table: Trade Overview (Japan 2013-2020)
SWOT
Freight Transport and Shipping SWOT
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Japan 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Japan 2013-2020)
Table: Main Import Sources
Table: Main Export Destinations
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Japan 2013-2020)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Japan 2013-2020)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Japan 2013-2020)
Shipping Forecast
Table: Major Ports Data (Japan 2013-2020)
Market Overview
Company Profile
All Nippon Airways Cargo (ANA Cargo)
Japan Airlines Corporation Cargo (JAL Cargo)
Yusen Logistics
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Japan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Japan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Japan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Japan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Japan 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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