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India Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

India Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We expect positive growth across the board in India's freight transport sector in 2015 (endingMarch 2016) and over the medium term. However, the growth will not be even, with the anticipatedexpansion in air freight especially to outperform, while road freight - where growth will be tempered in thenear term by a gloomy outlook for agricultural produce - will lag.

According to our forecasts, Indian trade will see moderate growth in real terms in 2015 (ending March2016), rising by 1.8% - although this is an improvement on the real contraction recorded the previous year.Growth will accelerate in 2016, rising to 2.7%. Exports will be the key driver of growth in both years - in2015 exports will rise by 2.5% compared to imports' 1.0%, while in the following year the growth levelswill be 3.5% and 1.8% respectively. In positive news for air freight and the road haulage sector, we expectthe government's efforts to boost the manufacturing sector through the 'Make In India' campaign to continuegaining traction, and this is evident in various high frequency data.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (India 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (India 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (India 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (India 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (India 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Air India Cargo
Container Corporation of India (Concor)
Indian Railways
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Table: Key Legislative Reforms
Table: India Political Overview
Long Term Political Outlook
Challenges And Threats To Stability
Long-Term Political Risk Index
Scenarios For Political Change
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Agriculture Weakening, Manufacturing & Services Providing Support
Table: Economic Activity (India 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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