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Hong Kong Freight Transport Report Q4 2015

BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Hong Kong 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Hong Kong 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Hong Kong 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Hong Kong 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Cathay Pacific Cargo
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Hong Kong Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Hong Kong 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

Hong Kong Freight Transport Report Q4 2015

BMI View: The outlook for Hong Kong's freight transport sector is one of modest growth and caution. Weforecast positive growth across modes in 2015, but highlight that the ongoing slowdown in the Chineseeconomy does not bode well for the city-state that is heavily reliant on trade with its giant neighbour. Withdemand for goods set to be affected over the medium term, and combined with the already highly developednature of Hong Kong's freight network, we expect growth to be minimal over the medium term.

Hong Kong's relatively small size of 1,104sq km population of 7.3mn belies the massive role it plays in theglobal supply chain. Hong Kong's port and airport have developed into key Asian transhipment points; theairport is the largest in the world in terms of cargo handled, while its port is the fourth-largest containerfacility. As a result of this global transhipment role, Hong Kong's freight transport volumes - for air freightespecially - are hugely informed by the global macroeconomic outlook.


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