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Central America Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Central America Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Freight growth will differ across Central America; however, all of the economies in questionwill benefit from the economic upswing and the improved labour market situation in the United Stateswhich will feed through into raising demand for Central American exports and increase remittance inflowsinto the region, particularly into Guatemala and Honduras. Air freight will benefit from improvedconnectivity throughout Central America as a number of airlines scheduled new services to economies inthe region. However, all of the economies will remain heavily reliant on road freight which will continue toaccount for around 99% of the market share in the whole of Central America. Major risks for the regionmay arise from the ratification of the TPP which will raise cost pressure on Central American textileexports.

Belize

BMI is predicting moderate growth of 2.1% for Belize's road freight over 2016. Similarly to other CentralAmerican economies Belize will benefit from an acceleration of the US economy, Belize's major exportpartner, and higher sugar prices, which will stimulate throughput in the domestic sugar industry. However,crude oil exports in Belize remain depressed. Thus overall trade will grow by moderate 2%. Both over2016, as well as over the medium, term air freight growth will substantially outperform road freight growth,however, growth comes off from a very low base. A number of airlines have launched new services toBelize City airport, the most recent one being the connection between Houston and Belize City offered bySouthwest Airlines. The additional air cargo capacity represents upside risk to our air freight growthforecast.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Belize Freight Transport SWOT
Costa Rica Freight Transport SWOT
El Salvador Freight Transport SWOT
Guatemala Freight Transport SWOT
Honduras Freight Transport SWOT
Nicaragua Freight Transport SWOT
Industry Forecast
Belize Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Belize 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Belize 2012-2019)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn
Belize Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Belize 2012-2019)
Belize Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Belize 2012-2019)
Costa Rica Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Costa Rica 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Costa Rica 2012-2019)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn
Costa Rica Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Costa Rica 2012-2019)
Costa Rica Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Costa Rica 2012-2019)
El Salvador Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (El Salvador 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (El Salvador 2012-2019)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn
El Salvador Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (El Salvador 2012-2019)
El Salvador Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (El Salvador 2012-2019)
Guatemala Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Guatemala 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Guatemala 2012-2019)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn
Guatemala Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Guatemala 2012-2019)
Guatemala Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Guatemala 2012-2019)
Honduras Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Honduras 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Honduras 2012-2019)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn
Honduras Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Honduras 2012-2019)
Honduras Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Honduras 2012-2019)
Nicaragua Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Nicaragua 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Nicaragua 2012-2019)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn
Nicaragua Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Nicaragua 2012-2019)
Nicaragua Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Nicaragua 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Belize Market Overview
Costa Rica Market Overview
El Salvador Market Overview
Guatemala Market Overview
Honduras Market Overview
Nicaragua Market Overview
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Domestic Politics
Domestic Politics
Domestic Politics
Domestic Politics
Domestic Politics
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Macroeconomic Forecasts (Panama 2011-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Guatemala 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Guatemala 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Guatemala 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Guatemala 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Guatemala 1990-2025)
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Honduras 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Honduras 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Honduras 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Honduras 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Honduras 1990-2025)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Panama 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Panama 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Panama 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Panama 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Panama 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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