Category: International Trade
Middle East International Trade
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The Middle East & North Africa 2025
... & North Africa Yearbook covers major domestic political developments, the foreign policy & socio-economic trends in the MENA region all related to developments in one calendar year. The Yearbook contains articles on all MENA countries. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Oman
... of US tariffs announced in April on global demand. The oil price drop triggered by the faster unwinding of oil supply cuts by OPEC+ and energy demand concerns will put downward pressure on the budget. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Israel
... tariff announcements and delayed our end-of-war assumption to the second half of this year. This year, we forecast GDP to grow by 3.6%, down 0.2% from our March baseline, and 2.9% next year, 0.8% lower. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Qatar
... impact on Qatar's economy of the recently announced 10% US import duty will be muted given Qatar's goods exports to the US account for less than 2% of its total exports. Still, we think trade-related ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Saudi Arabia
... to have only a limited domestic economic impact. Energy exports – over 85% of Saudi exports to the US – are exempt, and the US accounted for just 8% of total Saudi exports in 2023. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates
... 55. Rising cost pressures, weaker global demand, and increased uncertainty arising from the US tariff fallout may weigh on business sentiment. As a result, we have revised non-oil GDP growth downwards to 4.7% in 2025 ... Read More
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Middle East, North Africa & Central Asia Economic Factbook 2025
... growing economic unity that includes the countries of the Middle East, North Africa & Central Asia. It brings together clear & concise economic information that will help prepare data for anyone interested in this region. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Qatar
... 2026. The upgrade to our near-term outlook reflects better-than-expected growth at the end of 2024 and positive activity indicators since the start of this year. Meanwhile, business sentiment has held up amid heightened trade uncertainty. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Israel
... against Hamas. That said, we view a further weakening of the second stage of the ceasefire, which could delay an end to the war by several months, as a heightened risk to the economic outlook. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Bahrain
Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2025, increasing by 1.3%, picking up to 3.8% growth in 2026. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Saudi Arabia
... our and market expectations of Q3 2025. However, non-oil activities will remain the primary growth driver this year, supported by diversification efforts, with an expected expansion of 5.8%. We also anticipate government activities to grow ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates
... agreement to gradually unwind production cuts starting in Q2. Although oil prices remain under pressure, the increase in production will support growth in the oil sector, particularly as the UAE continues to prioritize capacity expansion. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Cyprus
... one of the fastest rates of expansion we project in the Eurozone this year. The downgrade was prompted by a soft end to 2024 and the likely start of a trade war with the US. Read More
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Yemen In-depth PEST Insights
... analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Yemen through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Yemen through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Oman
... steady expansion of non-energy output, which we project at 3.0% (up from 2.8% previously). We think activity across non-energy sectors will benefit from strong domestic investment momentum and development support, consistent with spending plans outlined ... Read More
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Cyprus In-depth PEST Insights
... analysis. Synopsis - Understand the political system in Cyprus through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators.- Understand the economic situation in Cyprus through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues.- Understand ... Read More
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Middle East & Africa Trade Credit Insurance Market Forecast to 2031 - Regional Analysis - by Enterprise Size (Large Enterprises and SMEs), Application (International and Domestic), and End User (Energy, Automotive, Aerospace, Chemicals, Metals, Agriculture, Food and Beverages, Financial Services, Technology and Telecommunication, Transportation, and Others)
... 7.1% from 2023 to 2031. Significant Initiatives to Promote AI use in Trade Credit Insurance Solutions Bolster Middle East & Africa Trade Credit Insurance Market Companies and associations in the trade credit insurance market are ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Kuwait
... delay unwinding cuts until at least the end of Q1, due to concerns over weak demand. We think OPEC+ will extend until Q3 2025 and maintain our oil price forecast at an average of $72.6pb ... Read More
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Economy of Saudi Arabia 2025
... at the underlying economic and social data over several decades which reveal considerable progress but also distortions related to the low participation rates of the indigenous population in the workforce compared to migrant labour. The ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Syrian Arab Republic
... 1.8% y/y contraction. The downward revision reflects inflation rates that continue to soar above expectations, persistent currency depreciation, spillovers from the wider regional conflict, and the regime's limited capacity to implement effective countermeasures to these. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Yemen, Rep
... in Red Sea shipping lines that connect Yemen's key ports. Plus, with households dedicating 65% of their incomes to food, we think recent flooding in agricultural regions will heavily reduce private consumption. Houthi captures of ... Read More
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Macroeconomic Outlook Report: Iran
... sectors are forecast to grow by 39.6%, 38.7%, and 40.4%, respectively, in 2024. Tehran generated around 27.3% of Iran’s GDP and was home to 16.7% of the country’s population as of 2023, according to the ... Read More
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Syria In-depth PEST Insights
... analysis.Synopsis Understand the political system in Syria through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Syria through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer demographics ... Read More
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Strategic Intelligence: Geopolitics Executive Briefing (Third Edition)
... and investment materialize when geopolitical tensions erupt into actual and potential armed conflict. Some sectors-notably tech and energy (including green energy)-are exceptionally ‘geopoliticized’, making them liable to be weaponized. The geopolitics executive briefing identifies the ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Iraq
... expansionary fiscal policy. But we've lowered our forecast for 2025 to 2.8% from 3.6%, to reflect the recent extension of the voluntary 220 tb/d cut, pledged until the end of November. We expect Iraq will ... Read More
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