Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany

Germany's economy got off to a better-than-expected start in 2022, with GDP growing 0.2% q/q in Q1. Despite the positive surprise, we've nudged our 2022 GDP growth forecast downward to 1.8% from 2.0% last month, after factoring in additional disruptions to supply chains and industrial activity from the lockdowns in China. Our 2023 GDP forecast holds at 3.1% expansion.

Germany: Lockdowns in China will exacerbate supply disruptions
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade

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