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The UAE’s Macroeconomic Transformation, 2025–2030

Publisher Frost & Sullivan
Published Jun 13, 2025
SKU # MC20106504

Description

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is poised for robust economic expansion, with real GDP growth forecast to average 4.7% between 2025 and 2030, outpacing the 2.6% recorded between 2019 and 2024. Population growth is anticipated to stay positive, reaching 12.3 million in 2030 from 11.1 million in 2024, with the share of adult and middle-aged adult and older-age adult segments rising from 56.1% to 56.5% and from 1.8% to 2.3%, respectively. Long-term residency schemes, educational reforms, and a favorable environment for skilled migrants will strengthen the size and competencies of the labor market, while rising incomes and improved healthcare access will support steady consumption growth.

This UAE-focused macroeconomic thought leadership provides a comprehensive snapshot of the country's transition toward a diversified economy. Over 70% of the GDP is expected to stem from non-oil sectors, with an average annual non-oil GDP contribution of 76.5% between 2025 and 2030. The UAE is cementing its position as the region’s leader in green energy, technology and digitalization, and transport and logistics, with policy-driven investments from both the government and private firms accelerating the shift. A pro-business environment, featuring digital enterprise incentives, streamlined business setup processes, and tax-efficient free zones, is enhancing the UAE’s appeal as a hub for global commerce and entrepreneurship.

Aligned with macroeconomic trends and strategic government initiatives, this study evaluates the UAE’s growth opportunities across oil and non-oil industries, highlighting emerging investment themes and sectoral prospects. Long-term residency schemes and skilled workforce attraction policies are fostering a highly diverse talent pool, ensuring sustained innovation and economic resilience. The report concludes with industry-specific insights and growth opportunities, offering market players and stakeholders a roadmap to capitalize on the UAE’s rapid macroeconomic transformation.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents
Research Scope
Scope of Analysis
Strategic Imperatives
Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
The Strategic Imperative 8
The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the UAE’s Economy
Growth Opportunity Analysis: UAE
Key Economic Metrics
Growth Drivers
Growth Restraints
Growth Opportunities
GCC: Economic Outlook
GCC: Regional Comparison
GCC: Risks Landscape, 2025–2026
Growth Opportunities
UAE: Economic Outlook
UAE: Oil and Non-oil GDP Outlook
Non-oil Key Investment Industries—Manufacturing and Clean Energy
Non-oil Key Investment Industries—Technology and Transportation
Ecosystem
Population Structure and Outlook
Attracting Human Capital
Rising Disposable Incomes
Growth Opportunities
Green Energy and Carbon Neutrality
Transportation and Logistics
Healthcare and Well-being
Technological Innovation and Digitalization
Transformation
Megatrends Shaping UAE’s Macroeconomic Transformation
Macroeconomic Megatrends, 2025–2030
Growth Opportunity Universe
Growth Opportunity 1: Transportation and Logistics
Growth Opportunity 2: Green and Renewable Energy
Growth Opportunity 3: Technology and AI
Appendix & Next Steps
Benefits and Impacts of Growth Opportunities
Next Steps
List of Exhibits
Legal Disclaimer

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