Israel Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

Israel Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

BMI View: Growth on Israel's freight transport network will be positive in 2015. This is an improvement on recent years, when the sector has seen declining volumes on air planes and at the country's major ports, thanks to sluggish economic growth - both domestically and in major trade partner Europe - and political instability on its borders with other states, and with Gaza. Nevertheless, this growth will be sluggish, and there remain pertinent risks to our forecasts. Economic growth will be healthy rather than robust, and challenges remain both politically - relations with Gaza remain fraught, and the Syrian civil war shows no signs of abating - and fundamentally. The privatisation of the country's ports will see continued industrial strife.

Headline Industry Data

2015 air freight growth is forecast at 1.7% following an estimated expansion of 1.4% in 2014; we project average growth of 2.0% per annum to 2019.

2015 Port of Haifa tonnage throughput is forecast to return to growth, at 2.6%, following a decline in 2014. We forecast that the facility will average growth of 3.8% to 2019.

2015 rail freight tonnage is forecast to grow by 3.3%, and to average 3.0% to 2019.

Total trade growth in real terms in 2015 is forecast to grow 3.2% and average 4.0% to 2019.

BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Air Freight
Table: Air Freight (Israel 2012-2019)
Rail Freight
Table: Rail Freight (Israel 2012-2019)
Maritime Freight
Table: Maritime Freight (Israel 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Israel 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Israel 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013
Market Overview
Company Profile
El Al Israel Airlines
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Israel Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Activity
Table: MENA - Operational Risk
Table: Economic Activity (Israel 2009-2018)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Israel 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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