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The Future of Triple-Play: Growth opportunities, key challenges and competitive strategies

Published by: Business Insights

Published: Jun. 1, 2009 - 140 Pages


Table of Contents


The Future of Triple-play
Executive summary
Market context: from pure-play to multi-play
The competitive environment
Service provider case studies
The future of triple-play services
Chapter 1 Introduction
Introduction
Who is this report for?
Definitions
Digital pay-TV (DTV)
Digital terrestrial TV (DTT)
Internet Protocol TV (IPTV)
Internet TV
Mobile broadband
Mobile Internet
Mobile TV
Triple-play
Video on demand (VOD)
WiMAX
Chapter 2 Market context: from pure-play to multi-play
Summary
Introduction
Defining triple-play
Telcos and cable operators vie for dominance
Triple-play market trends and drivers
Fixed-lines in decline as mobile takes center stage
Combating falling fixed-line revenues
Spending on fixed-line telecoms services is falling
Mobile telephony penetration continues to rise
VoIP offers a low-cost alternative to traditional voice services
Broadband uptake is continuing apace
Broadband markets reaching saturation point in development markets
Broadband pricing under pressure
Bandwidth demands will continue to increase
TV market in transition
The business case for IPTV
Strong growth anticipated
Regional demand for IPTV
Triple-play inhibitors and threats
Infrastructure limitations delay rollout
The impact of regulation
New competitors are emerging
Chapter 3 The competitive environment
Summary
Introduction
Competitive pressure reaches new levels
More competition on the horizon
Changing strategic aims
Reducing customer churn is a top priority
ARPU becomes the key metric
Extending existing customer relationships
Comparing the key triple-play protagonists
Emphasis of bundles vary according to providers’ key strengths
Cable providers are building on video success
Building on video strength
On the offensive in voice and broadband
A short-term advantage in triple-play?
Telcos face a steep learning curve and high risks
IPTV is a defensive move for most
Telcos are playing catch-up in the TV market
Fiber network deployment crucial for future competitive positioning
Partnering for success; filling service gaps with best-of-breed
providers
Taking a content-centric approach could be a step too far
Significant challenges remain
Taking a consumer-centric approach
Triple-play services offer benefits to consumers
Bundled offerings offer cost-savings
But triple-play services do not always offer best value
Uptake on the rise: UK triple-play case study
Targeting the right demographics will pay dividends
Emerging competitors threaten the status quo
Wireless services add mobility to the mix
Adding mobility to the mix
Mobile broadband further challenges fixed-line operators
WiMAX could threaten existing business models
Satellite operators excel in TV, but lack fixed-line assets
Partnerships are vital
Could triple-play success spell the demise of satellite?
Web-based video services could divert consumer spending online
A disruptive force in the video delivery arena
Web-based services benefit from changing market conditions
Pay-TV at risk?
Chapter 4 Service provider case studies
Summary
Introduction
AT&T (US)
Triple-play strategy and developments
Forging ahead with fiber deployment
Strong TV growth
Restructuring reinforces multi-play aspirations
Integrated multi-service offerings gather pace
Satellite partnerships offer bundling options
Advanced services provide differentiation
Investment in multi-platform services
Operational performance
BT (UK)
Triple-play strategy and developments
A hybrid approach to TV service delivery
Bundling restrictions removed
Targeting the mobile broadband opportunity
Fiber deployment gathers pace
Exploiting wholesale opportunities
Rumored re-entry into mobile market
BT Fusion evolves
Operational performance
Deutsche Telekom (Germany)
Triple-play strategy and developments
A focus on infrastructure upgrades and bundled services
Football rights drive service appeal
Price cutting is ongoing
Try before you buy
Differentiation via service enhancements
Online services gather pace
Operational performance
France Telecom (France)
Triple-play strategy and developments
A focus on content
Three-screen strategy aims for differentiation
Satellite services fill the network void
Operational performance
Verizon (US)
Triple-play strategy and developments
Differentiating through next-generation network deployment
FiOS success drives revenue and ARPU
Triple-play availability on the increase
A multi-room TV experience
Verizon Hub seeks to lock in voice customers
DIRECTV partnership extends triple-play coverage
HD as a key differentiator
Promotions attract new subscribers
Operational performance
Comcast (US)
Triple-play strategy and developments
Rapid uptake of digital voice services
Project Infinity developing apace
Looking to WiMAX for ‘quad-play’ service
Pricing tiers revised
Content portability on the agenda
Operational performance
Virgin Media (UK)
Triple-play strategy and developments
Strong triple-play performance
Pushing the boundaries of consumer broadband
VOD continues to be a key differentiator
High definition comes to the fore
Operational performance
BSkyB (UK)
Triple-play strategy and developments
‘Switch and Save’ initiative pushes cost benefits
Sky Talk success boosts triple-play
Continued focus on advanced TV services
Exclusive content drives service appeal
Operational performance
Chapter 5 The future of triple-play services
Summary
Introduction
Identifying future trends in the multi-play arena
The emergence of quad play services
A competitive boost for telcos?
Convergence offers new possibilities
Quad-play bundling offers greater pricing flexibility
Content is where the money is
Advanced TV services offer the greatest revenue growth potential
Targeting new areas of opportunity
Converged services come to the fore
Platform-agnostic multi-play services on the horizon
Profitability should be seen as the key metric
Pricing and branding strategies will become more important than ever
Service quality and customer services are vital
Triple-play set for strong growth
Index
List of Figures
Figure 2.1: Fixed-line connections by key country (connections per 100 people), 2002 and 2007
Figure 2.2: ARPU by fixed, mobile and broadband (£), 2002-2007
Figure 2.3: Mobile connections continue to rise
Figure 2.4: Global mobile connections (‘000s) and revenues ($), 2007-2013
Figure 2.5: Mobile-only households are becoming commonplace
Figure 2.6: Global consumer broadband subscribers, by platform, 2007-2012
Figure 2.7: Global consumer broadband subscribers, by region, 2007-2012
Figure 2.8: Top 10 consumer broadband markets by subscriber uptake, end-2008
Figure 2.9: Fastest broadband speeds advertised, by platform and country, September 2008
Figure 2.10: Broadband prices are falling across development markets
Figure 2.11: IP traffic forecast, Cisco
Figure 2.12: Global IPTV subscribers and revenues, 2007-2012
Figure 2.13: Global VOD revenues, 2007-2012
Figure 2.14: Top 15 IPTV markets by subscriber uptake, end-2008
Figure 2.15: Global IPTV subscribers, by region, 2007-2012
Figure 3.16: Cable operators and telcos show increasing service overlap
Figure 3.17: Offering video services can substantially boost ARPU for telcos
Figure 3.18: Bundled offerings offer considerable cost-saving potential
Figure 3.19: Bundled services make their mark in the UK
Figure 3.20: TV becomes a vital part of the service mix
Figure 3.21: Bundled service uptake varies by demographic
Figure 3.22: The rise of mobile broadband
Figure 4.23: AT&T operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009
Figure 4.24: BT operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q4 2008
Figure 4.25: Deutsche Telekom operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q4 2008
Figure 4.26: France Telecom operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009
Figure 4.27: Verizon operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009
Figure 4.28: Comcast operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009
Figure 4.29: Virgin Media’s multi-play success
Figure 4.30: Virgin Media operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009
Figure 4.31: Triple-play drives BSkyB’s ARPU growth
Figure 4.32: BSkyB operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009
Figure 5.33: Over 100m triple-play subscribers by 2012
List of Tables
Table 2.1: Number of residential voice lines by service provider, Dec 2006 to Dec 2008
Table 4.2: AT&T operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009
Table 4.3: BT operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q4 2008
Table 4.4: Deutsche Telekom operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q4 2008
Table 4.5: France Telecom operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009
Table 4.6: Verizon operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009
Table 4.7: Comcast operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009
Table 4.8: Virgin Media’s multi-play success
Table 4.9: Virgin Media operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009
Table 4.10: BSkyB operational performance, Q2 2007 to Q1 2009

Abstract

The Future of Triple-Play

Growth opportunities, key challenges and competitive strategies

Report Overview

Cable operations and fixed-line telecoms operators continue their battle over a superior share in the triple-play arena. However, mobile operators have shown their interest in seizing a piece of the market while satellite TV providers are also complementing their core services with fixed-line offerings. The future of pure-play providers appears limited, as the credit crunch places further pressure on consumers to seek the most costeffective way of obtaining the services they need.

‘The Future of Triple-Play: Growth opportunities, key challenges and competitive strategies’ is a report published by Business Insights that examines the market opportunities and challenges for triple-play services. The report analyzes the market conditions that have driven the deployment of triple-play services, and the strategies employed by leading service providers. It identifies the challenges faced by companies, and also provides recommendations into how to best counter competitive threats, extend service portfolios, and boost revenue potential in this rapidly evolving market.

Key Findings

The popularity of mobile telephony is expected to continue to rise over the next four years. There will be over 5.6 billion mobile connections worldwide by the end of 2013, a 68% increase over 2007.

Mobile broadband will be a substitute for fixed-line services in markets where fixed-line infrastructure has not been widely deployed. There will be an estimated 258 million mobile broadband notebook users in 2014, with consumers accounting for almost 200 million of these connections.

It is forecast that there will be 64 million IPTV subscribers by the end of 2012, an almost sixfold increase over 2007 levels.

The average consumer is not motivated by new technological offerings. Price is much more important to most than the availability of advanced services such as VOD, DVRs and high definition programming.

Use this report to
  • Understand the market dynamics of the triple-play market with this report’s overview of the market conditions and trends that have driven the deployment of triple-play services.
  • Identify the key challenges faced by providers across the triple-play market with this report’s examination of the evolving competitive environment and the ways in which companies are targeting triple-play opportunities.
  • Compare different service provider strategies with this report’s in-depth analysis of the triple-play approahces being employed by a number of leading communications providers across France, Germany, the UK and the US.
  • Assess future trends that will affect the triple-play market with the market projections to 2012 for key communications and entertainment services including consumer broadband, mobile telephony and IPTV, including a market forecast for triple-play subscriber levels.
Explore issues including...

Demand and fixed-line communications services: Increasing levels of competition across the voice and data access sectors has diminished telcos’ initial advantage showing a decline in demand for fixed-line communications. As a result, telcos have been forced to leverage their network infrastructure to deliver a broader range of applications and services to consumers.

IPTV and digital TV services: IPTV has emerged as a viable fourth platform for digital TV services driven by telcos’ desire to deploy triple-play services in order to reduce customer churn levels and boost ARPU. However, moving into the TV sector is an essential step if telcos are to retain eminent players in the communication and entertainment sector.

Broadband: The rise of consumer broadband brings greater opportunities for triple-play services. Although uptake is continuing apace in less developed broadband markets, others are starting to become slow as saturation point is reached. As a result, average price points for broadband access continue to fall.

Discover
  • What are the major trends shaping and influencing the development of the triple-play market?
  • Why are service providers investing so heavily in the deployment of triple-play services?
  • Which factors are likely to inhibit growth of the communications market, and triple-play in particular?
  • What are the key competitive advantages of the main triple-play protagonists?
  • To what extent will emerging triple-play providers threaten the current status quo?
  • How do the triple-play offerings of major providers across France, Germany, the UK and US differ?
  • What are the forecast market growth rates up to 2012 across consumer broadband, mobile telephony, IPTV, mobile broadband and tripleplay services?
  • Which future trends will impact on the development of the triple-play market?


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