Category: International Trade
South America International Trade
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Argentina
... at economic overheating. We expect a slowdown in H2 2022 triggered by aggressive monetary tightening – the central bank has already raised rates by 14ppts this year. Yet expansive fiscal policies, such as higher wages, ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Brazil
... growth in H1 this year, accompanied by improved fiscal and external accounts. Our expectation of 0.9% GDP growth for Brazil in 2022 remains, but with small upside risks if data for Q1 surprise us positively. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Argentina
... expect the economy to contract 1.5% q/q in Q2 as the central bank (BCRA) continues with its tightening cycle, which will affect consumption. That said, we believe that a lax fiscal stance will partially offset ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Guyana
... ExxonMobil, the largest operator in offshore Guyana, made three new oil discoveries this month and five since the start of 2022, bringing the total to 31 oil discoveries in Guyana since 2015. We expect oil ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Colombia
... to experience a technical recession this year, on the back of a sharper tightening in domestic and foreign financial conditions. We expect the fading of fiscal stimulus to hit activity momentum hard in the second ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Chile
... the year. Yet the economy is still set to face a technical recession this year, as inflation is expected to erode real wages and monetary tightening will squeeze credit access, a combination that will keep ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Argentina
... in February and booming exports. Yet, as the central bank (BCRA) is currently on a tightening cycle, we maintain our view that household consumption will be constrained this year, which will cause growth to slow. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Chile
... GDP forecast to 1%, from 2%, to reflect a larger impact of policy tightening on short-run growth and weaker supply-side fundamentals (resulting in the lowering of our potential output estimate to 2.3% pa, from 2.5%). Read More
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Ecuador
... to struggle to recover to pre-pandemic levels. Persistent rifts between Congress and the executive branch have put President Lasso’s reform agenda at risk, leading us to downgrade our 2022 GDP forecast by 0.4ppts to 3.4%. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Brazil
... terms of trade coming from the surge in commodity prices since the war in Ukraine started. As a result, we have raised our 2022 forecasts for GDP growth by 0.9ppts to 0.9%, and for the ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Argentina
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Argentina Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2022, increasing by 2.2%, before easing to 1.5% growth in 2023. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Latin America
... likely curb foreign investment, put pressure on the peso, and risk higher-for-longer inflation. Real wages are expected to shrink during the next two years as employment recovers, which will hurt household consumption and limit growth. Read More
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Country Economic Forecasts - Argentina
... our view that the economy might be overheating and expect GDP growth to slow to 3.1% in 2022. Authorities have announced a staff-level agreement with the IMF that should prevent a solvency crisis until 2024. ... Read More
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Country Economic Forecasts - Brazil
... still hitting manufacturers. While any upside surprise in Q4 would mechanically raise our current forecast of nil growth in 2022 due to a stronger carry-over, we do not feel more optimistic about the growth outlook. Read More
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Country Economic Forecasts - Colombia
... and cannot sustain this pace of growth much longer. We expect the central bank to pursue more aggressive monetary policy tightening, with the policy rate reaching 7% pa in nominal terms by the end of ... Read More
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Global Trade Finance Market, By Finance Type (Structured Trade Finance, Supply Chain Finance, Traditional Trade Finance), By Offering (Letters of Credit, Bill of Lading, Export Factoring, Insurance, Others), By Service Provider (Banks, Trade Finance Houses), By End-User (Small and Medium Enterprises, Large Enterprises), By Region (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific (APAC), Latin America (LATAM), Middle-East & Africa (MEA)Trend Analysis, Competitive Market Share & Forecast, 2018-2028
... By End-User (Small and Medium Enterprises, Large Enterprises), By Region (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific (APAC), Latin America (LATAM), Middle-East & Africa (MEA)Trend Analysis, Competitive Market Share & Forecast, 2018-2028 Trade Finance Market Poised to Witness ... Read More
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World textile and apparel trade and production trends: the USA, Argentina, Brazil, Colombia and Mexico, February 2022
... industries in the USA, Argentina, Brazil, Colombia and Mexico. The report presents a wealth of information, and is essential for anyone who is considering sourcing from, selling to or investing in these countries or their ... Read More
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Country Economic Forecasts - Peru
... big base effect from 2020. Our 2022 growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.3% as monetary policy tightens and fiscal stimulus fades. Risks remain tilted to the downside as the recent spike in Covid cases could ... Read More
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Country Economic Forecasts - Ecuador
... slowdown since late 2021 have prompted us to cut our 2022 GDP growth forecast by 0.9ppts to 3.8%. Downside risks persist due to latent social unrest and clashes between President Lasso and the National Assembly. Read More
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Uruguay Fruits and Vegetable Market - Growth, Trends, COVID-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2022 - 2027)
... grown in Uruguay are oranges, tangerines, apples, cranberries, pears, melons, grapes, peaches, quinces, sweet potatoes, dry peas, onions, pumpkins and squash, potatoes, and broad beans. Citrus fruit production has a long tradition in the country ... Read More
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Country Economic Forecasts - Chile
... pledged to adopt climate-friendly policies and scrap the pension system, was equally emphatic, with investors pummeling Chilean assets. Given Chile’s split congress, we expect Boric to lean towards a moderate government, balancing social demands against ... Read More
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South America - ISA Global Risk Forecasts
South America - ISA Global Risk Forecasts ISA Global Risk Forecasts include quarterly measurements and assessments of key risk factors. These include economic, political, demographic and social risk assessments. Read More
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South America - ISA Region Report
... detailed economic data and forecasts, analysis of trade and investment opportunities and coverage of the key political issues facing the countries of the region. In addition, each ISA Region Report contains a wealth of comparative ... Read More
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