Region: South America
Category: International Trade

South America International Trade

(113 reports matching your criteria)
  • Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Peru

    ... of positive factors. Primary activities recovered faster than expected in Q1 due to weaker effects from El Niño. In addition, loose financial conditions and declining inflation are gradually boosting consumers’ purchasing power and internal demand. Read More

  • Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Argentina

    ... Q4, consistent with our estimate and 0.4ppts above consensus. Last year, GDP shrank by 1.6%. We forecast consumption will drop by 11% this year and imports by 19%, owing to long-overdue measures to correct macroeconomic ... Read More

  • Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Uruguay

    ... Supported by trade and inventories, GDP expanded by 0.4% q/q in Q4 2023 and by 0.4% in the full year, 0.1ppt below our previous forecast. Despite the rebound in private consumption and exports, investment will ... Read More

  • Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Chile

    ... have raised our 2024 GDP growth forecast for Chile by 0.5ppts to 2.3% y/y. A strong January IMACEC print raised prospects for Q1 and national account revisions lowered 2023 GDP, automatically raising our 2024 forecast. Read More

  • Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Colombia

    ... at the beginning of this year, prompting us to increase our Q1 growth forecast by 0.8ppt to 1.3% q/q. We don't think Colombia will enter a recession this year, but a domestic demand correction is ... Read More

  • Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Brazil

    ... surprise driven by the services sector. Our forecast is still below that of consensus, as we have low conviction that a structural improvement in Brazil's potential growth will occur, or that the effects of contractionary ... Read More

  • Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Venezuela

    Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Venezuela Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to outpace economic growth in 2024, increasing by 6.9%, picking up to 7% growth in 2025. Read More

  • Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ecuador

    ... expected to grow marginally. Factors such as the VAT rate increase, prolonged high interest rates in the US, security issues, and electricity shortages will impact household spending and investment. Additionally, the oil ban in the ... Read More

  • Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Bolivia

    ... days in Q1 due to social protests, which triggered supply disruptions equivalent to 2ppts of GDP. Evo Morales's supporters showed their discontent after the constitutional court barred the ex-president from running for re-election in 2025. Read More

  • Venezuela In-depth PESTLE Insights

    ... trend analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Venezuela through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Venezuela through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand ... Read More

  • Ecuador Macroeconomic Outlook Report

    ... (11.8%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are forecast to grow by 3.6%, 4.1%, and 5.3%, respectively, in 2024. Quito is the major region in Ecuador, which contributed 24.4% to the country’s GDP and comprised ... Read More

  • Uruguay In-depth PEST Insights

    ... analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Uruguay through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Uruguay through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer ... Read More

  • Analysis by Region - Latin America

    ... our more optimistic outlook for GDP growth than we'd previously expected. Despite this, high inflation and tight global credit conditions will act as headwinds on growth in the near term. We expect moderate but consistent ... Read More

  • Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Colombia

    Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Colombia Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2023, falling by 1.7%, picking up to 0.4% growth in 2024. Read More

  • Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Uruguay

    Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Uruguay Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to outpace economic growth in 2023, increasing by 1.5%, picking up to 3.2% growth in 2024. Read More

  • Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets

    ... a stable inflation rate have prevented an economic contraction. In the near term, we expect the economy will grow by around 1.4%-1.5% y/y as the tourism sector grows due to new investment and lower inflation. ... Read More

  • Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Paraguay

    ... by a robust agricultural output and a subsequent uptick in exports. Although the intensity of the effects of El Niño in the next two quarters remains unknown, moderate rainfalls in H1 next year would benefit ... Read More

  • Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Suriname

    ... and a weaker global economy will depress real incomes. We now expect recent oil discoveries will start to contribute to GDP in 2028, later than originally envisioned due to delayed investment decisions from key stakeholders. Read More

  • Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Venezuela

    ... momentum has been heavily supported by the oil sector, as output is estimated to have reached 900,000 barrels per day this year, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). We expect the economy will stagnate ... Read More

  • Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Guyana

    ... GDP growth projection for Guyana by 0.2 ppts to 35.7%. This adjustment incorporates momentum from the strong 63.1% growth in GDP experienced in 2022, primarily driven by the rapid expansion of the country's oil industry. Read More

  • Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ecuador

    ... weighs on investment, rising interest rates are limiting credit to the private sector and households. What's more, the external sector has been hit hard by reduced oil prices and production. In addition, the El Niño ... Read More

  • Bolivia In-depth PEST Insights

    ... trend analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Bolivia through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Bolivia through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand ... Read More

  • Brazil In-depth PESTLE Insights

    ... trend analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Brazil through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Brazil through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand ... Read More

  • Argentina In-depth PESTLE Insights

    ... trend analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Argentina through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Argentina through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand ... Read More

  • Paraguay In-depth PEST Insights

    ... trend analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Paraguay through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Paraguay through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand ... Read More

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