Category: International Trade
Caribbean International Trade
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Cayman Islands
... revised our short-term GDP growth forecast to 1.5% in 2025 due to lower growth expectations in the US post-liberation day tariffs. Nonetheless, the medium-term outlook remains positive, as we believe this won't permanently affect growth. Read More
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Country Review Cuba
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Saint Kitts & Nevis
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Saint Lucia
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Haiti
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Bahamas
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Barbados
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Antigua and Barbuda
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Saint Vincent & Grenadines
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Trinidad and Tobago
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Dominican Republic
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Dominica
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Grenada
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Country Review Jamaica
... foreign policy orientation, business and investment climate, socio-cultural scene including key demographic features, and pertinent environmental issues. The Country Reviews are updated annually, although there are dynamic updates through the year if major events occur. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Aruba
... by 0.2 ppts to 4.1%. A stronger US economy than in our previous forecast and continued infrastructure investment contributed to our 2024 revisions. Meanwhile, a lull in infrastructure development will weigh on growth in 2025. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Bahamas, The
... in growth reflects the convergence of the economy towards its medium-term potential. Consistent with this view, we forecast inflation will settle at 2% in 2025 on the back of relatively weak consumption growth in 2024. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Barbados
... as well as major construction projects, will sustain growth for the rest of this year and the start of next. Overnight tourist arrivals will likely rise by 14.1% in 2025. Plus, highway maintenance is budgeted ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Anguilla
... for the country's domain name '.ai' and the anticipated gradual improvement of global market conditions early next year as central banks cut interest rates. However, previously high interest rates are still having enduring effects, so ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Antigua and Barbuda
... for Antigua and Barbuda by 1.4ppts to 2.8% y/y. We think the momentum from the post-pandemic recovery in tourism numbers will subside and growth levels will be closer to the economy's long-run potential growth rate. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Grenada
... of Carriacou and Petit Martinique, will leave a lasting mark on the supply side of the economy. The impact on 2024 growth will be more severe. We've lowered our forecast for this year by 0.7ppts ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Guadeloupe
... decline to 1.7% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026, we don't anticipate a strong recovery in consumption as cost-of-living pressures remain and earnings growth will slow. Our long-term outlook is subdued reflecting the current trend ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Virgin Islands (US)
... 2025 GDP forecast for the US Virgin Islands by 1.3ppts to 2.7% y/y. This is to reflect the significant investment and funding of infrastructure that the territory is set to receive in the upcoming year. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Puerto Rico
... Federal funds from disaster-relief programs and pandemic stimulus that buoyed infrastructure projects and private consumption will continue to fade. Still, resilient demand from mainland US will likely remain a benefit to Puerto Rico's exports and tourism sector, driving growth in the island's economy. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Dominica
... our 2024 GDP forecast for Dominica to 4.2% and expect robust growth of 3.1% next year. Our forecast reflects strong near-term prospects due a major recovery in tourism, high public investment, and strong Citizenship-by-Investment revenues. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - St. Kitts and Nevis
... stay robust over the medium term due to recovering tourism receipts, high investment, and ongoing Citizenship-by-Investment revenues. Subsiding global inflation and falling oil prices have resulted in significant relief for the economy. But natural disasters ... Read More
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