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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Sep 23, 2025
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20535984

Description

We revised our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Romania by 0.3ppts to 1% and lowered our 2026 forecast by 0.5ppts to 1.4%. The upgrade to the near-term growth profile comes after incorporating Q2's second GDP outturn, which was stronger than expected, and historical revisions. We expect activity growth over the next few years to remain softer than expected due to stronger inflation expected in H2 2025 and H1 2026.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Romania: High inflation sets the tone for slow growth next year
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings.
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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