Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania



We've cut our 2024 GDP growth forecast for Romania to 1.9%, from 2.8% last month. This downgrade reflects slower-than-expected growth in Q2. While there's a good chance that the latest GDP reading will be revised up in a future release, and we remain upbeat about the economy's prospects in H2 2024, the weakness in output growth across the first half of this year means we now think it will be a struggle for calendar year growth to accelerate in 2024.


Romania: Growth forecast cut due to large downside surprise for Q2 GDP
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings.
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Politics and policy

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