Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania

We've lowered our 2024 GDP growth forecast for Romania to 2.7% from 2.8% last month. This reflects the small downward revision made to Q1 GDP in the latest national accounts. Still, we think growth is likely to accelerate in Q2, following a set of upbeat economic releases. Further out, rising real incomes and strong credit growth suggest a robust consumer-led upturn is in prospect.

Romania: Growth outlook for 2024 cut slightly
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings.
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Politics and policy

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