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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Poland

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Sep 22, 2025
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20535989

Description

We've kept our GDP growth forecasts for Poland at 3.4% for this year and 3.3% for 2026. Q3 data so far indicate that H1's solid momentum remains intact. We expect growth to remain strong, supported primarily by resilient consumer demand and a pick-up in public investment. External demand is fragile, but we think it will gradually improve going into next year on the back of German fiscal stimulus and lower uncertainty.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Poland: Solid domestic demand offsets external weakness
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term growth outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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