Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Niger
Description
Niger continues to advance its oil production ambitions, with plans to build new oil refineries, amid a surge in crude oil exports, following the operationalisation of the Niger-Benin pipeline last year. Nevertheless, regional tensions and border closures due to Niger's 2023 coup remain key downside risks. We forecast real GDP growth to slow to 7.0% in 2025 from 8.4%in 2024, moderating to 4.8% per year over the medium term (2026-2028) as oil export growth slows.
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