Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mexico

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mexico



Mexico's election results have not altered our 2024 GDP growth forecast for Mexico, which is unchanged at 1.9%. Our 2025 GDP forecast is also unchanged at 2% growth, slightly above the consensus projection of 1.8%, but risks to the downside are growing.


Mexico: Election results trigged a peso sell-off
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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