Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Hungary
Description
We've nudged down our 2026 GDP growth forecast for Hungary by 0.1ppt to 1.9%, following an estimated 0.3% expansion in 2025. The details of the Q3 print point to unfavourable growth structure as both investment and exports underperformed. That said, we estimate the economy returned to modest growth in Q4 and think the pace of expansion will gradually pick up next year, in line with improved sentiment amid fiscal loosening and stronger demand.
Table of Contents
8 Pages
- Hungary: Fiscal easing, foreign demand to support growth next year
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Economic risk
- Economic risk evaluation
- Risk warnings
- What to watch out for
- Exposure to key global risks
- Long-term prospects
- Alternative long-run scenarios
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Balance of payments and structure of trade
- Policy
- Politics
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