Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Malaysia

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Malaysia

Monthly data suggest Malaysia's strong start to the year has persisted into Q2. However, that resilience is unlikely to be sustained. We expect momentum to moderate, and forecast an expansion of 3.3% for the year. Meanwhile, currency weakness continues to prevent Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) from cutting rates. Currency pressures look set to remain until the US Federal Reserve cuts rates, while upside risks from inflation are growing. As such, the BNM is unlikely to change course until Q3 2025.

Malaysia: momentum likely to fade as demand falters
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our Short-term Forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to Key global risks
Long-term prospects
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and Structure of trade

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